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Deep neural networks (DNNs) are often coupled with physics-based models or data-driven surrogate models to perform fault detection and health monitoring of systems in the low data regime. These models serve as digital twins to generate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Laya Das , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

Understanding and controlling biasing effects in neural networks is crucial for ensuring accurate and fair model performance. In the context of classification problems, we provide a theoretical analysis demonstrating that the structure of a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Emanuele Francazi , Aurelien Lucchi , Marco Baity-Jesi

Neural networks (NNs) are primarily developed within the frequentist statistical framework. Nevertheless, frequentist NNs lack the capability to provide uncertainties in the predictions, and hence their robustness can not be adequately…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Nastaran Dabiran , Brandon Robinson , Rimple Sandhu , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

The key distinguishing property of a Bayesian approach is marginalization instead of optimization, not the prior, or Bayes rule. Bayesian inference is especially compelling for deep neural networks. (1) Neural networks are typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-30 Andrew Gordon Wilson

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art accuracy performance in many tasks. However, recent works have pointed out that the outputs provided by these models are not well-calibrated, seriously limiting their use in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-16 Juan Maroñas , Roberto Paredes , Daniel Ramos

The remarkable performance of overparameterized deep neural networks (DNNs) must arise from an interplay between network architecture, training algorithms, and structure in the data. To disentangle these three components, we apply a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Chris Mingard , Henry Rees , Guillermo Valle-Pérez , Ard A. Louis

Credit risk modelling is an integral part of the global financial system. While there has been great attention paid to neural network models for credit default prediction, such models often lack the required interpretation mechanisms and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Rendani Mbuvha , Illyes Boulkaibet , Tshilidzi Marwala

As data size and computing power increase, the architectures of deep neural networks (DNNs) have been getting more complex and huge, and thus there is a growing need to simplify such complex and huge DNNs. In this paper, we propose a novel…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-24 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Neural networks have revolutionized the field of machine learning with increased predictive capability. In addition to improving the predictions of neural networks, there is a simultaneous demand for reliable uncertainty quantification on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-10 Ethan Ancell , Christopher Bennett , Bert Debusschere , Sapan Agarwal , Park Hays , T. Patrick Xiao

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) have emerged as a crucial approach for interpreting ML predictions. By sampling from the posterior distribution, data scientists may estimate the uncertainty of an inference. Unfortunately many inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Thomas D. Ahle , Sahar Karimi , Peter Tak Peter Tang

The willingness to trust predictions formulated by automatic algorithms is key in a vast number of domains. However, a vast number of deep architectures are only able to formulate predictions without an associated uncertainty. In this…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-28 Matteo Ferrante , Tommaso Boccato , Nicola Toschi

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Deep neural networks (NNs) are known for their high-prediction performances. However, NNs are prone to yield unreliable predictions when encountering completely new situations without indicating their uncertainty. Bayesian variants of NNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-25 Kai Brach , Beate Sick , Oliver Dürr

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have become a principal approach to alleviate overconfident predictions in deep learning, but they often suffer from scaling issues due to a large number of distribution parameters. In this paper, we discover…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Shiye Lei , Zhuozhuo Tu , Leszek Rutkowski , Feng Zhou , Li Shen , Fengxiang He , Dacheng Tao

Active learning, an iterative process of selecting the most informative data points for exploration, is crucial for efficient characterization of materials and chemicals property space. Neural networks excel at predicting these properties…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-06-02 Sarah I. Allec , Maxim Ziatdinov

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi