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The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

We consider a regression setting where observations are collected in different environments modeled by different data distributions. The field of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization aims to design methods that generalize better to test…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Francesco Freni , Anya Fries , Linus Kühne , Markus Reichstein , Jonas Peters

This work considers the problem of fitting functional models with sparsely and irregularly sampled functional data. It overcomes the limitations of the state-of-the-art methods, which face major challenges in the fitting of more complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Matthew Reimherr

Multiple imputation is a highly recommended technique to deal with missing data, but the application to longitudinal datasets can be done in multiple ways. When a new wave of longitudinal data arrives, we can treat the combined data of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 X. M. Kavelaars , S. van Buuren , J. R. van Ginkel

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

Prediction Rule Ensembles (PREs) are robust and interpretable statistical learning techniques with potential for predictive analytics, yet their efficacy in the presence of missing data is untested. This study uses multiple imputation to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Vincent Schroeder , Jakob Schwerter , Marjolein Fokkema , Philipp Doebler

Despite the impressive performance of random forests (RF), its theoretical properties have not been thoroughly understood. In this paper, we propose a novel RF framework, dubbed multinomial random forest (MRF), to analyze the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Yiming Li , Jiawang Bai , Jiawei Li , Xue Yang , Yong Jiang , Chun Li , Shutao Xia

We introduce WildWood (WW), a new ensemble algorithm for supervised learning of Random Forest (RF) type. While standard RF algorithms use bootstrap out-of-bag samples to compute out-of-bag scores, WW uses these samples to produce improved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Stéphane Gaïffas , Ibrahim Merad , Yiyang Yu

Balancing the distributions of the confounders across the exposure levels in an observational study through matching or weighting is an accepted method to control for confounding due to these variables when estimating the association…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-24 Farhad Pishgar , Noah Greifer , Clémence Leyrat , Elizabeth Stuart

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

In recent years, dynamically growing data and incrementally growing number of classes pose new challenges to large-scale data classification research. Most traditional methods struggle to balance the precision and computational burden when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-01 Tingting Xie , Yuxing Peng , Changjian Wang

Random forests perform bootstrap-aggregation by sampling the training samples with replacement. This enables the evaluation of out-of-bag error which serves as a internal cross-validation mechanism. Our motivation lies in using the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Kiran Bangalore Ravi , Jean Serra

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

Quantitative measurements produced by mass spectrometry proteomics experiments offer a direct way to explore the role of proteins in molecular mechanisms. However, analysis of such data is challenging due to the large proportion of missing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Haeun Moon , Jin-Hong Du , Jing Lei , Kathryn Roeder

Given the prevalence of missing data in modern statistical research, a broad range of methods is available for any given imputation task. How does one choose the `best' imputation method in a given application? The standard approach is to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-01 Jeffrey Näf , Meta-Lina Spohn , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

Random Forests [Breiman:2001] (RF) are a fully non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF are a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-30 John Ehrlinger

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

Classification is essential to the applications in the field of data mining, artificial intelligence, and fault detection. There exists a strong need in developing accurate, suitable, and efficient classification methods and algorithms with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Yingtao Ren , Xiaomin Zhu , Kaiyuan Bai , Runtong Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric end-to-end method for probabilistic forecasting of distributed renewable generation outputs while including missing data imputation. Firstly, we employ a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-02 Minghui Chen , Zichao Meng , Yanping Liu , Longbo Luo , Ye Guo , Kang Wang

Multiple imputation (MI) has become popular for analyses with missing data in medical research. The standard implementation of MI is based on the assumption of data being missing at random (MAR). However, for missing data generated by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-03 Tra My Pham , James R Carpenter , Tim P Morris , Angela M Wood , Irene Petersen