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The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) has established itself as a widely used method for approximate inference on Bayesian hierarchical models which can be represented as a latent Gaussian model (LGM). INLA is based on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-06 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Håvard Rue

This article presents new methodology for sample-based Bayesian inference when data are partitioned and communication between the parts is expensive, as arises by necessity in the context of "big data" or by choice in order to take…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Marc Box

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for Gaussian approximations of intractable posteriors. Optimization-based approximations like variational inference can be too inaccurate while existing Monte Carlo methods can be too slow.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Willem van den Boom , Andrea Cremaschi , Alexandre H. Thiery

Latent variable models for ordinal data represent a useful tool in different fields of research in which the constructs of interest are not directly observable. In such models, problems related to the integration of the likelihood function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-26 Silvia Bianconcini , Silvia Cagnone

Monte Carlo maximum likelihood (MCML) provides an elegant approach to find maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for latent variable models. However, MCML algorithms are computationally expensive when the latent variables are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-05 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Hierarchical Bayesian Poisson regression models (HBPRMs) provide a flexible modeling approach of the relationship between predictors and count response variables. The applications of HBPRMs to large-scale datasets require efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Jin-Zhu Yu , Hiba Baroud

Using an asymmetric Laplace distribution, which provides a mechanism for Bayesian inference of quantile regression models, we develop a fully Bayesian approach to fitting single-index models in conditional quantile regression. In this work,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Yuao Hua , Robert B. Gramacy , Heng Lian

Latent variable models are increasingly used in economics for high-dimensional categorical data like text and surveys. We demonstrate the effectiveness of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) with parallelized automatic differentiation for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-04 Szymon Sacher , Laura Battaglia , Stephen Hansen

Sampling from distributions play a crucial role in aiding practitioners with statistical inference. However, in numerous situations, obtaining exact samples from complex distributions is infeasible. Consequently, researchers often turn to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Tiefeng Jiang

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a widely deployed method to sample from high-dimensional distributions in Statistics and Machine learning. HMC is known to run very efficiently in practice and its popular second-order "leapfrog"…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-08-13 Oren Mangoubi , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

Latent position network models are a versatile tool in network science; applications include clustering entities, controlling for causal confounders, and defining priors over unobserved graphs. Estimating each node's latent position is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-11-05 Neil A. Spencer , Brian Junker , Tracy M. Sweet

The future predictive performance of a Bayesian model can be estimated using Bayesian cross-validation. In this article, we consider Gaussian latent variable models where the integration over the latent values is approximated using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-09 Aki Vehtari , Tommi Mononen , Ville Tolvanen , Tuomas Sivula , Ole Winther

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a class of Bayesian inference algorithms that targets for problems with intractable or {unavailable} likelihood function. It uses synthetic data drawn from the simulation model to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

In machine learning and statistics, probabilistic inference involving multimodal distributions is quite difficult. This is especially true in high dimensional problems, where most existing algorithms cannot easily move from one mode to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are popular samplers for approximate inference, but they are generally biased. We show that many recent versions of these methods (e.g. Chen et al. (2014)) cannot be corrected using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-03 Adrià Garriga-Alonso , Vincent Fortuin

We consider the problem of approximate Bayesian parameter inference in non-linear state-space models with intractable likelihoods. Sequential Monte Carlo with approximate Bayesian computations (SMC-ABC) is one approach to approximate the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-14 Johan Dahlin , Mattias Villani , Thomas B. Schön

Various computational challenges arise when applying Bayesian inference approaches to complex hierarchical models. Sampling-based inference methods, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo strategies, are renowned for providing accurate results…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Cristian Chiuchiolo , Janet van Niekerk , Håvard Rue

Sampling from a lattice Gaussian distribution is emerging as an important problem in various areas such as coding and cryptography. The default sampling algorithm --- Klein's algorithm yields a distribution close to the lattice Gaussian…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling , Guillaume Hanrot

Performing Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be exceedingly expensive when posterior evaluations invoke the evaluation of a computationally expensive model, such as a system of partial differential equations. In…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Patrick Conrad , Andrew Davis , Youssef Marzouk , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith