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User growth is a major strategy for consumer internet companies. To optimize costly marketing campaigns and maximize user engagement, we propose a novel treatment effect optimization methodology to enhance user growth marketing. By…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Shuyang Du , Jennifer Zhang , Will Y. Zou

Marketing is an important mechanism to increase user engagement and improve platform revenue, and heterogeneous causal learning can help develop more effective strategies. Most decision-making problems in marketing can be formulated as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Hao Zhou , Shaoming Li , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Dong Wang

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

Many marketing applications, including credit card incentive programs, offer rewards to customers who exceed specific spending thresholds to encourage increased consumption. Quantifying the causal effect of these thresholds on customers is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Causal inference methods are widely applied in the fields of medicine, policy, and economics. Central to these applications is the estimation of treatment effects to make decisions. Current methods make binary yes-or-no decisions based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-24 Will Y. Zou , Smitha Shyam , Michael Mui , Mingshi Wang , Jan Pedersen , Zoubin Ghahramani

This study provides a formal analysis of the customer targeting problem when the cost for a marketing action depends on the customer response and proposes a framework to estimate the decision variables for campaign profit optimization.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-08-12 Johannes Haupt , Stefan Lessmann

Many payment platforms hold large-scale marketing campaigns, which allocate incentives to encourage users to pay through their applications. To maximize the return on investment, incentive allocations are commonly solved in a two-stage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Xuanying Chen , Zhining Liu , Li Yu , Sen Li , Lihong Gu , Xiaodong Zeng , Yize Tan , Jinjie Gu

We apply causal machine learning algorithms to assess the causal effect of a marketing intervention, namely a coupon campaign, on the sales of a retailer. Besides assessing the average impacts of different types of coupons, we also…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-24 Henrika Langen , Martin Huber

With advances in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, firms can personalize and target individuals at a granular level. However, feasibility constraints limit full personalization. In practice, firms choose segments of individuals…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-02 Walter W. Zhang , Sanjog Misra

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

Problem definition: Mining for heterogeneous responses to an intervention is a crucial step for data-driven operations, for instance to personalize treatment or pricing. We investigate how to estimate price sensitivity from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-08 Jean Pauphilet

In the marketing field, understanding consumer heterogeneity, which is the internal or psychological difference among consumers that cannot be captured by behavioral logs, has long been a critical challenge. However, a number of consumers…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-23 Junichiro Niimi

Targeted marketing policies target different customers with different marketing actions. While most research has focused on training targeting policies without managerial constraints, in practice, many firms face managerial constraints when…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-20 Haihao Lu , Duncan Simester , Yuting Zhu

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

Using big data to analyze consumer behavior can provide effective decision-making tools for preventing customer attrition (churn) in customer relationship management (CRM). Focusing on a CRM dataset with several different categories of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Petra Posedel Šimović , Davor Horvatic , Edward W. Sun

Customer churn describes terminating a relationship with a business or reducing customer engagement over a specific period. Two main business marketing strategies play vital roles to increase market share dollar-value: gaining new and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-24 David Hason Rudd , Huan Huo , Guandong Xu

A simple advertising strategy that can be used to help increase sales of a product is to mail out special offers to selected potential customers. Because there is a cost associated with sending each offer, the optimal mailing strategy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect is an important task in causal inference with wide application fields. It has also attracted increasing attention from machine learning community in recent years. In this work, we reinterpret the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-26 Ran Chen , Hanzhong Liu

Online advertising platforms use automated auctions to connect advertisers with potential customers, requiring effective bidding strategies to maximize profits. Accurate ad impact estimation requires considering three key factors: delayed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Yuwei Cheng , Zifeng Zhao , Haifeng Xu

The causal effect of a treatment can vary from person to person based on their individual characteristics and predispositions. Mining for patterns of individual-level effect differences, a problem known as heterogeneous treatment effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva
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