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Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a vital modeling technique that rely on internal states learned indirectly by optimization of a supervised, unsupervised, or reinforcement training loss. RNNs are used to model dynamic processes that are…

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies

RNN-based methods have faced challenges in the Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) domain when dealing with excessively long look-back windows and forecast horizons. Consequently, the dominance in this domain has shifted towards…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-23 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Feiyu Zhao , Ruichao Mo , Haotong Zhang

How to handle time features shall be the core question of any time series forecasting model. Ironically, it is often ignored or misunderstood by deep-learning based models, even those baselines which are state-of-the-art. This behavior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-25 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

This study presents a novel model for invertible sentence embeddings using a residual recurrent network trained on an unsupervised encoding task. Rather than the probabilistic outputs common to neural machine translation models, our…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-04-07 Jeremy Wilkerson

Inspired by the tremendous success of deep Convolutional Neural Networks as generic feature extractors for images, we propose TimeNet: a deep recurrent neural network (RNN) trained on diverse time series in an unsupervised manner using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-28 Pankaj Malhotra , Vishnu TV , Lovekesh Vig , Puneet Agarwal , Gautam Shroff

Many efforts have been devoted to training generative latent variable models with autoregressive decoders, such as recurrent neural networks (RNN). Stochastic recurrent models have been successful in capturing the variability observed in…

Statistical language models are central to many applications that use semantics. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) are known to produce state of the art results for language modelling, outperforming their traditional n-gram counterparts in…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2016-02-05 Anantharaman Palacode Narayana Iyer

Classical methods of solving spatiotemporal dynamical systems include statistical approaches such as autoregressive integrated moving average, which assume linear and stationary relationships between systems' previous outputs. Development…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-02-16 Yonggi Park , Kelum Gajamannage , Dilhani I. Jayathilake , Erik M. Bollt

Data assimilation (DA) is integrated with machine learning in order to perform entirely data-driven online state estimation. To achieve this, recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are implemented as surrogate models to replace key components of…

The goal of this paper is to investigate the theoretical properties, the training algorithm, and the predictive control applications of Echo State Networks (ESNs), a particular kind of Recurrent Neural Networks. First, a condition…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-02-06 Luca Bugliari Armenio , Enrico Terzi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Anticipating the future actions of a human is a widely studied problem in robotics that requires spatio-temporal reasoning. In this work we propose a deep learning approach for anticipation in sensory-rich robotics applications. We…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2015-09-17 Ashesh Jain , Avi Singh , Hema S Koppula , Shane Soh , Ashutosh Saxena

This work proposes a novel neural network architecture, called the Dynamically Controlled Recurrent Neural Network (DCRNN), specifically designed to model dynamical systems that are governed by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-11-04 Yiwei Fu , Samer Saab , Asok Ray , Michael Hauser

Time series forecasting is a challenging problem particularly when a time series expresses multiple seasonality, nonlinear trend and varying variance. In this work, to forecast complex time series, we propose ensemble learning which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-03 Grzegorz Dudek

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at forecasting tasks and quantifying the associated uncertainty with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Exponential Smoothing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-17 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures. Despite their effectiveness, most existing methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Yitong Zhou , Yucong Luo , Mingyue Cheng , Qi Liu , Jiahao Wang , Daoyu Wang , Enhong Chen

Deep neural networks tend to underestimate uncertainty and produce overly confident predictions. Recently proposed solutions, such as MC Dropout and SDENet, require complex training and/or auxiliary out-of-distribution data. We propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Akib Mashrur , Wei Luo , Nayyar A. Zaidi , Antonio Robles-Kelly

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang