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相关论文: Hawkes Process Multi-armed Bandits for Disaster Se…

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The Hawkes process, a self-exciting point process, has a wide range of applications in modeling earthquakes, social networks and stock markets. The established estimation process requires that researchers have access to the exact time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 Lingxiao Zhou , Georgia Papadogeorgou

The multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem is a foundational framework in sequential decision-making under uncertainty, extensively studied for its applications in areas such as clinical trials, online advertising, and resource allocation.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Ali Baheri

The Hawkes process and its extensions effectively model self-excitatory phenomena including earthquakes, viral pandemics, financial transactions, neural spike trains and the spread of memes through social networks. The usefulness of these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Andrew J. Holbrook , Charles E. Loeffler , Seth R. Flaxman , Marc A. Suchard

Self-exciting spatiotemporal Hawkes processes have found increasing use in the study of large-scale public health threats ranging from gun violence and earthquakes to wildfires and viral contagion. Whereas many such applications feature…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Andrew J. Holbrook , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

This paper explores the application of bandit algorithms in both stochastic and adversarial settings, with a focus on theoretical analysis and practical applications. The study begins by introducing bandit problems, distinguishing between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Samih Karroum , Saad Mazhar

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Contextual multi-armed bandit (MAB) achieves cutting-edge performance on a variety of problems. When it comes to real-world scenarios such as recommendation system and online advertising, however, it is essential to consider the resource…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-07 Mengyue Yang , Qingyang Li , Zhiwei Qin , Jieping Ye

Performance of machine learning algorithms depends critically on identifying a good set of hyperparameters. While recent approaches use Bayesian optimization to adaptively select configurations, we focus on speeding up random search through…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-20 Lisha Li , Kevin Jamieson , Giulia DeSalvo , Afshin Rostamizadeh , Ameet Talwalkar

The monitoring of conflict risk in the humanitarian sector is largely based on simple historic averages. The overarching goal of this work is to assess the potential for using a more statistically rigorous approach to monitor the risk of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Raiha Browning , Hamish Patten , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

With the growing use of AI technology, many police departments use forecasting software to predict probable crime hotspots and allocate patrolling resources effectively for crime prevention. The clustered nature of crime data makes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Pramit Das , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Multi-task learning in contextual bandits has attracted significant research interest due to its potential to enhance decision-making across multiple related tasks by leveraging shared structures and task-specific heterogeneity. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Xia Jiang , Rong J. B. Zhu

Volunteer-based food rescue platforms tackle food waste by matching surplus food to communities in need. These platforms face the dual problem of maintaining volunteer engagement and maximizing the food rescued. Existing algorithms to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Ariana Tang , Naveen Raman , Fei Fang , Zheyuan Ryan Shi

As a tool for capturing irregular temporal dependencies (rather than resorting to binning temporal observations to construct time series), Hawkes processes with exponential decay have seen widespread adoption across many application…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-05 Tiago Santos , Florian Lemmerich , Denis Helic

In the machine learning algorithms, the choice of the hyperparameter is often an art more than a science, requiring labor-intensive search with expert experience. Therefore, automation on hyperparameter optimization to exclude human…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Taehyeon Kim , Jaeyeon Ahn , Nakyil Kim , Seyoung Yun

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are a class of point processes that can account for complex temporal dynamics among event sequences. In this work, we study the accuracy and computational efficiency of three classes of algorithms which,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodríguez

We obtain the upper bound of the loss function for a strategy in the multi-armed bandit problem with Gaussian distributions of incomes. Considered strategy is an asymptotic generalization of the strategy proposed by J. Bather for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-04 Alexander Kolnogorov , Sergey Garbar

In this report, we survey Bayesian Optimization methods focussed on the Multi-Armed Bandit Problem. We take the help of the paper "Portfolio Allocation for Bayesian Optimization". We report a small literature survey on the acquisition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-16 Abhilash Nandy , Chandan Kumar , Deepak Mewada , Soumya Sharma

Contextual multi-armed bandits (CMAB) have been widely used for learning to filter and prioritize information according to a user's interest. In this work, we analyze top-K ranking under the CMAB framework where the top-K arms are chosen…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Michael Rawson , Jade Freeman

Scientific experimentation is largely driven by statistical hypothesis testing to determine significant differences in interventions. Traditionally, experimenters allocate samples uniformly between each intervention. However, such an…

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