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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Hybrid methods have been shown to outperform pure statistical and pure deep learning methods at forecasting tasks and quantifying the associated uncertainty with those forecasts (prediction intervals). One example is Exponential Smoothing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-17 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

The rapid expansion of electric vehicles (EVs) has rendered the load forecasting of electric vehicle charging stations (EVCS) increasingly critical. The primary challenge in achieving precise load forecasting for EVCS lies in accounting for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-14 Zongbao Zhang , Jiao Hao , Wenmeng Zhao , Yan Liu , Yaohui Huang , Xinhang Luo

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

We propose a hybrid method combining the deep long short-term memory (LSTM) model with the inexact empirical model of dynamical systems to predict high-dimensional chaotic systems. The deep hierarchy is encoded into the LSTM by…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-04 Youming Lei , Jian Hu , Jianpeng Ding

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a well-known method used widely on sequence learning and time series prediction. In this paper we deployed stacked LSTM model in an application of weather forecasting. We propose a 2-layer spatio-temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Zahra Karevan , Johan A. K. Suykens

Mid-term electricity load forecasting (LF) plays a critical role in power system planning and operation. To address the issue of error accumulation and transfer during the operation of existing LF models, a novel model called error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Liping Zhang , Di Wu , Xin Luo

The well-developed ETS (ExponenTial Smoothing or Error, Trend, Seasonality) method incorporating a family of exponential smoothing models in state space representation has been widely used for automatic forecasting. The existing ETS method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-28 Lingzhi Qi , Xixi Li , Qiang Wang , Suling Jia

To enhance the accuracy of power load forecasting in wind farms, this study introduces an advanced combined forecasting method that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization (IPSO)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Qiang Xie

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is a challenging problem due to the complex nature of the time series expressing multiple seasonality and varying variance. This paper proposes an extension of a hybrid forecasting model combining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-03 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

The rising integration of variable renewable energy sources (RES), like solar and wind power, introduces considerable uncertainty in grid operations and energy management. Effective forecasting models are essential for grid operators to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-02 Jesus Silva-Rodriguez , Elias Raffoul , Xingpeng Li

A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine ($\mathtt{ELM}$) is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) from multiple energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, thermal,…

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources (RESs) into modern power systems presents significant opportunities but also notable challenges, primarily due to the inherent variability of RES generation. Accurate forecasting of RES…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-19 Farshid Kamrani , Kristen Schell

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

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