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Surrogate modeling for systems with high-dimensional quantities of interest remains challenging, particularly when training data are costly to acquire. This work develops multifidelity methods for multiple-input multiple-output linear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Vignesh Sella , Julie Pham , Karen Willcox , Anirban Chaudhuri

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

While optimal input design for linear systems has been well-established, no systematic approach exists for nonlinear systems where robustness to extrapolation/interpolation errors is prioritized over minimizing estimated parameter variance.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-09 Yuhan Liu , Máté Kiss , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens

In this paper, we study the problem of learning one-dimensional Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with a specific focus on estimating both the model order and the mixing distribution from independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Xinyu Liu , Hai Zhang

In data mining applications, feature selection is an essential process since it reduces a model's complexity. The cost of obtaining the feature values must be taken into consideration in many domains. In this paper, we study the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-04 Hong Zhao , Fan Min , William Zhu

We present a novel probabilistic approach for generating multi-fidelity data while accounting for errors inherent in both low- and high-fidelity data. In this approach a graph Laplacian constructed from the low-fidelity data is used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Orazio Pinti , Jeremy M. Budd , Franca Hoffmann , Assad A. Oberai

Estimating covariance parameters for multivariate spatial Gaussian random fields is computationally challenging, as the number of parameters grows rapidly with the number of variables, and likelihood evaluation requires operations of order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Gabriel Riffo , Xavier Emery

With the rise in edge-computing devices, there has been an increasing demand to deploy energy and resource-efficient models. A large body of research has been devoted to developing methods that can reduce the size of the model considerably…

Estimating the probability of failure for complex real-world systems using high-fidelity computational models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when the probability is small. Exploiting low-fidelity models can make this process…

A critical bottleneck for scientific progress is the costly nature of computer simulations for complex systems. Surrogate models provide an appealing solution: such models are trained on simulator evaluations, then used to emulate and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-14 Xinming Wang , Simon Mak , John Miller , Jianguo Wu

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Modeling data with non-stationary covariance structure is important to represent heterogeneity in geophysical and other environmental spatial processes. In this work, we investigate a multistage approach to modeling non-stationary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-05 Ashton Wiens , Douglas Nychka , William Kleibe

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sequential optimization strategy that is increasingly employed in a wide range of areas including materials design. In real world applications, acquiring high-fidelity (HF) data through physical experiments…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Zahra Zanjani Foumani , Amin Yousefpour , Mehdi Shishehbor , Ramin Bostanabad

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Risk assessment of hurricane-driven storm surge relies on deterministic computer models that produce outputs over a large spatial domain. The surge models can often be run at a range of fidelity levels, with greater precision yielding more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Cyrus S. McCrimmon , Pulong Ma

Informative sampling designs can impact spatial prediction, or kriging, in two important ways. First, the sampling design can bias spatial covariance parameter estimation, which in turn can bias spatial kriging estimates. Second, even with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle , Ranadeep Daw

We study the problem of multifidelity uncertainty propagation for computationally expensive models. In particular, we consider the general setting where the high-fidelity and low-fidelity models have a dissimilar parameterization both in…

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

A parametric adaptive physics-informed greedy Latent Space Dynamics Identification (gLaSDI) method is proposed for accurate, efficient, and robust data-driven reduced-order modeling of high-dimensional nonlinear dynamical systems. In the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-19 Xiaolong He , Youngsoo Choi , William D. Fries , Jon Belof , Jiun-Shyan Chen