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Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

One of the fundamental challenges in drawing causal inferences from observational studies is that the assumption of no unmeasured confounding is not testable from observed data. Therefore, assessing sensitivity to this assumption's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

Inferring the state and unknown parameters of a network of coupled oscillators is of utmost importance. This task is made harder when only partial and noisy observations are available, which is a typical scenario in realistic…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2025-04-07 Lauren D. Smith , Georg A. Gottwald

We introduce a `double-difference' method for the inversion for seismic wavespeed structure based on adjoint tomography. Differences between seismic observations and model predictions at individual stations may arise from factors other than…

地球物理 · 物理学 2016-07-08 Yanhua O. Yuan , Frederik J. Simons , Jeroen Tromp

Adjoint-based sensitivity analysis is routinely used today to assess efficiently the effect of open-loop control on the linear stability properties of unstable flows. Sensitivity maps identify regions where small-amplitude control is the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-06-18 Edouard Boujo

For a given {\it misfit function}, a specified optimality measure of a model, its gradient describes the manner in which one may alter properties of the system to march towards a stationary point. The adjoint method, arising from…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Shravan Hanasoge , Aaron Birch , Laurent Gizon , Jeroen Tromp

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Improved estimation of hydrometeorological states from down-sampled observations and background model forecasts in a noisy environment, has been a subject of growing research in the past decades. Here, we introduce a unified framework that…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-09-15 Ardeshir Mohammad Ebtehaj , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

We show how magnetic observations of the Sun can be used in conjunction with an axisymmetric flux-transport solar dynamo model in order to estimate the large-scale meridional circulation throughout the convection zone. Our innovative…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-10-06 Ching Pui Hung , Laurène Jouve , Allan Sacha Brun , Alexandre Fournier , Olivier Talagrand

Inverse problems use physical measurements along with a computational model to estimate the parameters or state of a system of interest. Errors in measurements and uncertainties in the computational model lead to inaccurate estimates. This…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-02-02 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

We propose an improvement of an oceanographic three dimensional variational assimilation scheme (3D-VAR), named OceanVar, by introducing a recursive filter (RF) with the third order of accuracy (3rd-RF), instead of a RF with first order of…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2015-05-20 R. Farina , S. Dobricic , A. Storto , S. Masina , S. Cuomo

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

This paper presents a new variational data assimilation (VDA) approach for the formal treatment of bias in both model outputs and observations. This approach relies on the Wasserstein metric stemming from the theory of optimal mass…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Sagar K. Tamang , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

We apply two data assimilation (DA) methods, a smoother and a filter, and a model-free machine learning (ML) shallow network to forecast two weakly turbulent systems. We analyse the effect of the spatial sparsity of observations on accuracy…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-07-16 Vikrant Gupta , Yuanqing Chen , Minping Wan

A real time assimilation and forecasting system for coastal currents is presented. The purpose of the system is to deliver current analyses and forecasts based on assimilation of high frequency radar surface current measurements. The local…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-10-01 Øyvind Breivik , Øyvind Saetra

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Adaptive spatial meshing has proven invaluable for the accurate, efficient computation of solutions of time dependent partial differential equations. In a DA context the use of adaptive spatial meshes addresses several factors that place…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-17 Jeremiah Buenger , Weizhang Huang , Erik Van Vleck

An important class of nonlinear weighted least-squares problems arises from the assimilation of observations in atmospheric and ocean models. In variational data assimilation, inverse error covariance matrices define the weighting matrices…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-12-06 Olivier Goux , Selime Gürol , Anthony T. Weaver , Oliver Guillet , Youssef Diouane

Today's ocean numerical prediction skills depend on the availability of in-situ and remote ocean observations at the time of the predictions only. Because observations are scarce and discontinuous in time and space, numerical models are…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-06 Ali Muhamed Ali , Hanqi Zhuang , Yu Huang , Ali K. Ibrahim , Ali Salem Altaher , Laurent Chérubin

Data assimilation is the process to fuse information from priors, observations of nature, and numerical models, in order to obtain best estimates of the parameters or state of a physical system of interest. Presence of large errors in some…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-11-06 Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu , Michael Ng , Elias Nino-Ruiz