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What do data tell us about physics-and what don't they tell us? There has been a surge of interest in using machine learning models to discover governing physical laws such as differential equations from data, but current methods lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Steven Atkinson

We propose a new data-driven method to learn the dynamics of an unknown hyperbolic system of conservation laws using deep neural networks. Inspired by classical methods in numerical conservation laws, we develop a new conservative form…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-11-29 Zhen Chen , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-20 Wenwen Si , Sangdon Park , Insup Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Osbert Bastani

Distribution-free prediction sets play a pivotal role in uncertainty quantification for complex statistical models. Their validity hinges on reliable calibration data, which may not be readily available as real-world environments often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

In this paper we wish to tackle stochastic programs affected by ambiguity about the probability law that governs their uncertain parameters. Using optimal transport theory, we construct an ambiguity set that exploits the knowledge about the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-15 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (DRC) recently emerges as a principled paradigm for handling uncertainty in stochastic dynamical systems. However, it constructs data-driven ambiguity sets via uniform distribution shifts before…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-14 Jingyi Wu , Chao Ning , Yang Shi

We establish a connection between distributionally robust optimization (DRO) and classical robust statistics. We demonstrate that this connection arises naturally in the context of estimation under data corruption, where the goal is to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-21 Gabriel Chan , Bart Van Parys , Amine Bennouna

We propose an unsupervised anomaly detection approach based on a physics-informed diffusion model for multivariate time series data. Over the past years, diffusion model has demonstrated its effectiveness in forecasting, imputation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-18 Juhi Soni , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Stefan Windmann

Normally hyperbolic invariant manifolds theory provides an efficient tool for proving diffusion in dynamical systems. In this paper we develop a methodology for computer assisted proofs of diffusion in a-priori chaotic systems based on this…

This paper studies the expected optimal value of a mixed 0-1 programming problem with uncertain objective coefficients following a joint distribution. We assume that the true distribution is not known exactly, but a set of independent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-08-28 Guanglin Xu , Samuel Burer

We consider machine learning, particularly regression, using locally-differentially private datasets. The Wasserstein distance is used to define an ambiguity set centered at the empirical distribution of the dataset corrupted by local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Farhad Farokhi

We present a deep learning framework for quantifying and propagating uncertainty in systems governed by non-linear differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. Specifically, we employ latent variable models to construct…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-26 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

We investigate the density large deviation function for a multidimensional conservation law in the vanishing viscosity limit, when the probability concentrates on weak solutions of a hyperbolic conservation law conservation law. When the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Julien Barré , Cedric Bernardin , Raphaël Chetrite

We study the robust quickest change detection under unknown pre- and post-change distributions. To deal with uncertainties in the data-generating distributions, we formulate two data-driven ambiguity sets based on the Wasserstein distance,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-04-28 Liyan Xie

The dynamics of nonlinear conservation laws have long posed fascinating problems. With the introduction of some nonlinearity, e.g. Burgers' equation, discontinuous behavior in the solutions is exhibited, even for smooth initial data. The…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-08-24 Carey Caginalp

In this paper hyperbolic partial differential equations with random coefficients are discussed. Such random partial differential equations appear for instance in traffic flow problems as well as in many physical processes in random media.…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2017-06-19 Andrea Barth , Franz G. Fuchs

Uncertainty quantification is critical in scientific inverse problems to distinguish identifiable parameters from those that remain ambiguous given available measurements. The Conditional Diffusion Model-based Inverse Problem Solver (CDI)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Dmitrii Torbunov , Yihui Ren , Lijun Wu , Yimei Zhu

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie