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We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

The logistic map is a nonlinear difference equation well studied in the literature, used to model self-limiting growth in certain populations. It is known that, under certain regularity conditions, the stochastic logistic map, where the…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-10-05 Maricela Cruz , Austin Wei , Johanna Hardin , Ami Radunskaya

This paper studies the Exponential Weights (EW) algorithm with an isotropic Gaussian prior for online logistic regression. We show that the near-optimal worst-case regret bound $O(d\log(Bn))$ for EW, established by Kakade and Ng (2005)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Federico Di Gennaro , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2012-04-09 Ban Zheng , Eric Moulines , Frédéric Abergel

We consider the problem of online forecasting of sequences of length $n$ with total-variation at most $C_n$ using observations contaminated by independent $\sigma$-subgaussian noise. We design an $O(n\log n)$-time algorithm that achieves a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-29 Dheeraj Baby , Yu-Xiang Wang

Sparse covariates are frequent in classification and regression problems and in these settings the task of variable selection is usually of interest. As it is well known, sparse statistical models correspond to situations where there are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-14 Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Gonzalo Chebi

Evaluating large language models increasingly relies on LLM-as-a-judge protocols, but such evaluations remain costly: different judges have different prices and reliabilities, and the difficulty of each prompt-response pair can vary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Junghyun Lee , Sanghwa Kim , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutière , Se-Young Yun

Calibration is a vital aspect of the performance of risk prediction models, but research in the context of ordinal outcomes is scarce. This study compared calibration measures for risk models predicting a discrete ordinal outcome, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-19 Michael Edlinger , Maarten van Smeden , Hannes F Alber , Maria Wanitschek , Ben Van Calster

This paper tackles the problem of selecting among several linear estimators in non-parametric regression; this includes model selection for linear regression, the choice of a regularization parameter in kernel ridge regression, spline…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-09-15 Sylvain Arlot , Francis Bach

We study time-inhomogeneous episodic reinforcement learning (RL) under general function approximation and sparse rewards. We design a new algorithm, Variance-weighted Optimistic $Q$-Learning (VO$Q$L), based on $Q$-learning and bound its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Alekh Agarwal , Yujia Jin , Tong Zhang

We propose an optimal estimating equation for logistic regression with linked data while accounting for false positives. It builds on a previous solution but estimates the regression coefficients with a smaller variance, in large samples.

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-16 Jenkin Tsui , Abel Dasylva , Kenneth Chu

Bagging is a commonly used ensemble technique in statistics and machine learning to improve the performance of prediction procedures. In this paper, we study the prediction risk of variants of bagged predictors under the proportional…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-26 Pratik Patil , Jin-Hong Du , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We show that large-scale typicality of Markov sample paths implies that the likelihood ratio statistic satisfies a law of iterated logarithm uniformly to the same scale. As a consequence, the penalized likelihood Markov order estimator is…

概率论 · 数学 2011-08-31 Ramon van Handel

In this paper, local linear estimators are adapted for the unknown infinitesimal coefficients associated with continuous-time asset return model with jumps, which can correct the bias automatically due to their simple bias representation.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-15 Yuping Song , Ying Chen , Zhouwei Wang

We develop new adaptive algorithms for variational inequalities with monotone operators, which capture many problems of interest, notably convex optimization and convex-concave saddle point problems. Our algorithms automatically adapt to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-30 Alina Ene , Huy L. Nguyen

Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) algorithms are widely used in a variety of estimation and prediction tasks in signal-processing and machine learning applications. Despite their popularity, a theory that explains their statistical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Hossein Taheri , Ramtin Pedarsani , Christos Thrampoulidis

We provide in this paper a fully adaptive penalized procedure to select a covariance among a collection of models observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points. For this we generalize previous results of Bigot and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Rolando Biscay , Hélène Lescornel , Jean-Michel Loubes

Linear regression is a basic and widely-used methodology in data analysis. It is known that some quantum algorithms efficiently perform least squares linear regression of an exponentially large data set. However, if we obtain values of the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-08-27 Kazuya Kaneko , Koichi Miyamoto , Naoyuki Takeda , Kazuyoshi Yoshino

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. When the input…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-07-06 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Consider the domain of multiclass classification within the adversarial online setting. What is the price of relying on bandit feedback as opposed to full information? To what extent can an adaptive adversary amplify the loss compared to an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Yuval Filmus , Steve Hanneke , Idan Mehalel , Shay Moran