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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are widely used in machine learning. One of the major problems with MCMC is the question of how to design chains that mix fast over the whole state space; in particular, how to select the parameters…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-16 Kiarash Shaloudegi , András György

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have not been broadly adopted in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). This paper initially reviews the main challenges in sampling from the parameter posterior of a neural network via MCMC. Such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Theodore Papamarkou , Jacob Hinkle , M. Todd Young , David Womble

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Subsurface flow problems usually involve some degree of uncertainty. Consequently, uncertainty quantification is commonly necessary for subsurface flow prediction. In this work, we propose a methodology for efficient uncertainty…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-02 Nanzhe Wang , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

This paper considers a new approach to using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in contexts where one may adopt multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo. The underlying problem is to approximate expectations w.r.t. an underlying probability measure that is…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-27 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yaxian Xu

Bayesian inverse problems arise in various scientific and engineering domains, and solving them can be computationally demanding. This is especially the case for problems governed by partial differential equations, where the repeated…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-11-04 Juntao Yang , Jeff Adie , Simon See , Adriano Gualandi , Gianmarco Mengaldo

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala

For the temperature field reconstruction (TFR), a complex image-to-image regression problem, the convolutional neural network (CNN) is a powerful surrogate model due to the convolutional layer's good image feature extraction ability.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Zhiqiang Gong , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoyu Zhao , Tingsong Jiang

We propose an approach to lossy source coding, utilizing ideas from Gibbs sampling, simulated annealing, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The idea is to sample a reconstruction sequence from a Boltzmann distribution associated with an…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Shirin Jalali , Tsachy Weissman

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is a widely recognised as an efficient method for sampling a specified posterior distribution. However, when the posterior is multi-modal, conventional MCMC algorithms either tend to become…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-08-19 Yi-Ming Hu , Martin Hendry , Ik Siong Heng

In this article we propose a novel MCMC method based on deterministic transformations T: X x D --> X where X is the state-space and D is some set which may or may not be a subset of X. We refer to our new methodology as Transformation-based…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya

When implementing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, perturbation caused by numerical errors is sometimes inevitable. This paper studies how perturbation of MCMC affects the convergence speed and Monte Carlo estimation accuracy.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Tiangang Cui , Jing Dong , Ajay Jasra , Xin T. Tong

In statistical analysis, Monte Carlo (MC) stands as a classical numerical integration method. When encountering challenging sample problem, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a commonly employed method. However, the MCMC estimator is biased…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-05 Jiarui Du , Zhijian He

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target…

Deep learning surrogate modeling shows great promise for subsurface flow applications, but the training demands can be substantial. Here we introduce a new surrogate modeling framework to predict CO2 saturation, pressure and surface…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-21 Yifu Han , Francois P. Hamon , Louis J. Durlofsky

The configuration model is a standard tool for uniformly generating random graphs with a specified degree sequence, and is often used as a null model to evaluate how much of an observed network's structure can be explained by its degree…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Upasana Dutta , Bailey K. Fosdick , Aaron Clauset

We consider conditional tests for non-negative discrete exponential families. We develop two Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms which allow us to sample from the conditional space and to perform approximated tests. The first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-27 Roberto Fontana , Francesca Romana Crucinio

An efficient simulation-based methodology is proposed for the rolling window estimation of state space models, called particle rolling Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with double block sampling. In our method, which is based on Sequential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Naoki Awaya , Yasuhiro Omori

Bayesian inference methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) typically require repeated computations of the likelihood function, but in some scenarios this is infeasible and alternative methods are needed. Simulation-based inference…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Linnea M Wolniewicz , Peter Sadowski , Claudio Corti