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In this work we propose for the first time a transformer-based framework for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate time series. Pre-trained models can be potentially used for downstream tasks such as regression and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 George Zerveas , Srideepika Jayaraman , Dhaval Patel , Anuradha Bhamidipaty , Carsten Eickhoff

Recurrent neural networks are a successful neural architecture for many time-dependent problems, including time series analysis, forecasting, and modeling of dynamical systems. Training such networks with backpropagation through time is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Erik Lien Bolager , Ana Cukarska , Iryna Burak , Zahra Monfared , Felix Dietrich

In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic sequence model that excels at capturing high variability in time series data, both across sequences and within an individual sequence. Our method uses temporal latent variables to capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-26 Ruizhi Deng , Yanshuai Cao , Bo Chang , Leonid Sigal , Greg Mori , Marcus A. Brubaker

We introduce a self-consistent deep-learning framework which, for a noisy deterministic time series, provides unsupervised filtering, state-space reconstruction, identification of the underlying differential equations and forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-05 Zhe Wang , Claude Guet

Complex and nonlinear dynamical systems often involve parameters that change with time, accurate tracking of which is essential to tasks such as state estimation, prediction, and control. Existing machine-learning methods require full state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-16 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mohammadamin Moradi , Bryan Glaz , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Highly expressive directed latent variable models, such as sigmoid belief networks, are difficult to train on large datasets because exact inference in them is intractable and none of the approximate inference methods that have been applied…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-06 Andriy Mnih , Karol Gregor

We present a representation learning algorithm that learns a low-dimensional latent dynamical system from high-dimensional \textit{sequential} raw data, e.g., video. The framework builds upon recent advances in amortized inference methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-29 Jung-Su Ha , Young-Jin Park , Hyeok-Joo Chae , Soon-Seo Park , Han-Lim Choi

In this paper, we address the discovery of robotic options from demonstrations in an unsupervised manner. Specifically, we present a framework to jointly learn low-level control policies and higher-level policies of how to use them from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Tanmay Shankar , Abhinav Gupta

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Sparse deep learning has become a popular technique for improving the performance of deep neural networks in areas such as uncertainty quantification, variable selection, and large-scale network compression. However, most existing research…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Mingxuan Zhang , Yan Sun , Faming Liang

In this paper, we explore the inclusion of latent random variables into the dynamic hidden state of a recurrent neural network (RNN) by combining elements of the variational autoencoder. We argue that through the use of high-level latent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-04-08 Junyoung Chung , Kyle Kastner , Laurent Dinh , Kratarth Goel , Aaron Courville , Yoshua Bengio

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

In this work, we propose a novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression based on conditional diffusion models. Specifically, we construct a conditional diffusion model to learn the distribution of the response variable given…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Jinyuan Chang , Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Junjie Shi

Deep learning has shown impressive results in a variety of time series forecasting tasks, where modeling the conditional distribution of the future given the past is the essence. However, when this conditional distribution is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Siqi Liu , Andreas Lehrmann

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Learning identifiable representations and models from low-level observations is helpful for an intelligent spacecraft to complete downstream tasks reliably. For temporal observations, to ensure that the data generating process is provably…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Congxi Zhang , Yongchun Xie

Understanding how animals learn is a central challenge in neuroscience, with growing relevance to the development of animal- or human-aligned artificial intelligence. However, existing approaches tend to assume fixed parametric forms for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Yuhan Helena Liu , Victor Geadah , Jonathan Pillow

Recurrent and convolutional neural networks are the most common architectures used for time series forecasting in deep learning literature. These networks use parameter sharing by repeating a set of fixed architectures with fixed parameters…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-30 Joel Janek Dabrowski , YiFan Zhang , Ashfaqur Rahman

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori