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Policy learning algorithms are widely used in areas such as personalized medicine and advertising to develop individualized treatment regimes. However, most methods force a decision even when predictions are uncertain, which is risky in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Ayush Sawarni , Jikai Jin , Justin Whitehouse , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Off-policy learning methods seek to derive an optimal policy directly from a fixed dataset of prior interactions. This objective presents significant challenges, primarily due to the inherent distributional shift and value function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Arip Asadulaev , Maksim Bobrin , Salem Lahlou , Dmitry Dylov , Fakhri Karray , Martin Takac

Reinforcement learning is a promising approach to learning robotics controllers. It has recently been shown that algorithms based on finite-difference estimates of the policy gradient are competitive with algorithms based on the policy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Osbert Bastani

Expressive policies based on flow-matching have been successfully applied in reinforcement learning (RL) more recently due to their ability to model complex action distributions from offline data. These algorithms build on standard policy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Mingxuan Li , Junzhe Zhang , Elias Bareinboim

This paper investigates the problem of bounding possible output from a counterfactual query given a set of observational data. While various works of literature have described methodologies to generate efficient algorithms that provide an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-02 Aditya Kelvianto Sidharta

In this paper we present a new way of predicting the performance of a reinforcement learning policy given historical data that may have been generated by a different policy. The ability to evaluate a policy from historical data is important…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-04-05 Philip S. Thomas , Emma Brunskill

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Recently, interest has grown in the use of proxy variables of unobserved confounding for inferring the causal effect in the presence of unmeasured confounders from observational data. One difficulty inhibiting the practical use is finding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Feng Xie , Zhengming Chen , Shanshan Luo , Wang Miao , Ruichu Cai , Zhi Geng

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is the problem of estimating the value of a target policy using historical data collected under a different logging policy. OPE methods typically assume overlap between the target and logging policy, enabling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Samir Khan , Martin Saveski , Johan Ugander

Robustness has been extensively studied in reinforcement learning (RL) to handle various forms of uncertainty such as random perturbations, rare events, and malicious attacks. In this work, we consider one critical type of robustness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Wenhao Ding , Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi , Ding Zhao

Model-agnostic meta-reinforcement learning requires estimating the Hessian matrix of value functions. This is challenging from an implementation perspective, as repeatedly differentiating policy gradient estimates may lead to biased Hessian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 Yunhao Tang , Tadashi Kozuno , Mark Rowland , Rémi Munos , Michal Valko

We address the problem of integrating data from multiple, possibly biased, observational and interventional studies, to eventually compute counterfactuals in structural causal models. We start from the case of a single observational dataset…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-17 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , David Huber , Rafael Cabañas

We develop methods for nonparametric uniform inference in cost-sensitive binary classification, a framework that encompasses maximum score estimation, predicting utility maximizing actions, and policy learning. These problems are well known…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-16 Nan Liu , Yanbo Liu , Yuya Sasaki , Yuanyuan Wan

We study identification and estimation of causal effects in settings with panel data. Traditionally researchers follow model-based identification strategies relying on assumptions governing the relation between the potential outcomes and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-18 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Guido W. Imbens

In observational studies, the observed association between an exposure and outcome of interest may be distorted by unobserved confounding. Causal sensitivity analysis can be used to assess the robustness of observed associations to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Rui Hu , Ted Westling

We revisit the Reinforce policy gradient algorithm from the literature. Note that this algorithm typically works with cost returns obtained over random length episodes obtained from either termination upon reaching a goal state (as with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Shalabh Bhatnagar

We study the problem of off-policy critic evaluation in several variants of value-based off-policy actor-critic algorithms. Off-policy actor-critic algorithms require an off-policy critic evaluation step, to estimate the value of the new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-12 Riashat Islam , Raihan Seraj , Samin Yeasar Arnob , Doina Precup

When learning policies for real-world domains, two important questions arise: (i) how to efficiently use pre-collected off-policy, non-optimal behavior data; and (ii) how to mediate among different competing objectives and constraints. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-22 Hoang M. Le , Cameron Voloshin , Yisong Yue

We investigate the important problem of certifying stability of reinforcement learning policies when interconnected with nonlinear dynamical systems. We show that by regulating the input-output gradients of policies, strong guarantees of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-10-30 Ming Jin , Javad Lavaei