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Most of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms in existing probabilistic programming systems suboptimally use only model priors as proposal distributions. In this work, we describe an approach for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-05-17 Yura N Perov , Tuan Anh Le , Frank Wood

We introduce a new Monte Carlo method by incorporating a guided distribution function to the conventional Monte Carlo method. In this way, the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods is drastically improved. To further speed up the algorithm, we…

计算物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. P. Li

Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

Global fits of physics models require efficient methods for exploring high-dimensional and/or multimodal posterior functions. We introduce a novel method for accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by pairing a…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-09-06 N. T. Hunt-Smith , W. Melnitchouk , F. Ringer , N. Sato , A. W Thomas , M. J. White

Crystallization processes at the mesoscopic scale, where faceted, dendritic growth, and multigrain formation can be observed, are of particular interest within materials science and metallurgy. These processes are highly nonlinear,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Pol Timmer , Koen Minartz , Vlado Menkovski

Many problems in the physical sciences, machine learning, and statistical inference necessitate sampling from a high-dimensional, multi-modal probability distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, the ubiquitous tool for this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-05-12 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Deep generative models are rapidly gaining traction in medical imaging. Nonetheless, most generative architectures struggle to capture the underlying probability distributions of volumetric data, exhibit convergence problems, and offer no…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-29 Guilherme Pombo , Robert Gray , Tom Varsavsky , John Ashburner , Parashkev Nachev

Atomistic simulations provide valuable insights into the physical processes governing material behavior. However, their applicability is fundamentally constrained by the limited time scales accessible to brute-force simulations. This…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-02-16 Michael Kim , Wei Cai

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is a popular class of methods for sampling from an intractable target distribution using a sequence of simpler intermediate distributions. Like other importance sampling-based methods,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-18 Shixiang Gu , Zoubin Ghahramani , Richard E. Turner

Optimizing or sampling complex cost functions of combinatorial optimization problems is a longstanding challenge across disciplines and applications. When employing family of conventional algorithms based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Dmitrii Dobrynin , Masoud Mohseni , John Paul Strachan

An approximate numerical approach to spin models is proposed, in which the original lattice is transformed into a tree. This method is applied to the Edwards-Anderson spin glass model in two and three dimensions. It captures the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Naoki Kawashima

Bayesian neural learning feature a rigorous approach to estimation and uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution of weights that represent knowledge of the neural network. This not only provides point estimates of optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-13 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Ratneel V. Deo , Sally Cripps

We describe a new direct method to estimate bipartite mutual information of a classical spin system based on Monte Carlo sampling enhanced by autoregressive neural networks. It allows studying arbitrary geometries of subsystems and can be…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-10-27 Piotr Białas , Piotr Korcyl , Tomasz Stebel

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are essential tools in computational statistics for sampling from unnormalised probability distributions, but can be fragile when targeting high-dimensional, multimodal, or complex target…

We present a novel Bayesian inference tool that uses a neural network to parameterise efficient Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) proposals. The target distribution is first transformed into a diagonal, unit variance Gaussian by a series of…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-03 Adam Moss

We present a Nested Markov chain Monte Carlo (NMC) scheme for building equilibrium averages based on accurate potentials such as density functional theory. Metropolis sampling of a reference system, defined by an inexpensive but approximate…

化学物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Jeff Leiding , Joshua D. Coe

We introduce \textit{Policy Guided Monte Carlo} (PGMC), a computational framework using reinforcement learning to improve Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. The methodology is generally applicable, unbiased and opens up a new path to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-12-12 Troels Arnfred Bojesen

We propose a Monte Carlo sampler from the reverse diffusion process. Unlike the practice of diffusion models, where the intermediary updates -- the score functions -- are learned with a neural network, we transform the score matching…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-14 Xunpeng Huang , Hanze Dong , Yifan Hao , Yi-An Ma , Tong Zhang

Microscopic processes on surfaces such as adsorption, desorption, diffusion and reaction of interacting particles can be simulated using kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) algorithms. Even though kMC methods are accurate, they are computationally…

数学物理 · 物理学 2013-12-24 Yannis Pantazis , Markos Katsoulakis