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Counterfactual explanations are a common tool to explain artificial intelligence models. For Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents, they answer "Why not?" or "What if?" questions by illustrating what minimal change to a state is needed such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Tobias Huber , Maximilian Demmler , Silvan Mertes , Matthew L. Olson , Elisabeth André

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms usually require a substantial amount of interaction data and perform well only for specific tasks in a fixed environment. In some scenarios such as healthcare, however, usually only few records are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-17 Chaochao Lu , Biwei Huang , Ke Wang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Kun Zhang , Bernhard Schölkopf

Speech enhancement has benefited from the success of deep learning in terms of intelligibility and perceptual quality. Conventional time-frequency (TF) domain methods focus on predicting TF-masks or speech spectrum, via a naive convolution…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-24 Yanxin Hu , Yun Liu , Shubo Lv , Mengtao Xing , Shimin Zhang , Yihui Fu , Jian Wu , Bihong Zhang , Lei Xie

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Recommendations can greatly benefit from good representations of the user state at recommendation time. Recent approaches that leverage Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for session-based recommendations have shown that Deep Learning models…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2017-06-26 Elena Smirnova , Flavian Vasile

Learning temporal patterns from multivariate longitudinal data is challenging especially in cases when data is sporadic, as often seen in, e.g., healthcare applications where the data can suffer from irregularity and asynchronicity as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-09 Mostafa Mehdipour Ghazi , Lauge Sørensen , Sébastien Ourselin , Mads Nielsen

Time series prediction is essential for human activities in diverse areas. A common approach to this task is to harness Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). However, while their predictions are quite accurate, their learning process is complex…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-05-30 Michał Siemaszko , Adam Buraczewski , Bertrand Le Saux , Magdalena Stobińska

Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Farbod Alinezhad , Jianfei Cao , Gary J. Young , Brady Post

Determining causal effects of temporal multi-intervention assists decision-making. Restricted by time-varying bias, selection bias, and interactions of multiple interventions, the disentanglement and estimation of multiple treatment effects…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Pengfei Xi , Guifeng Wang , Zhipeng Hu , Yu Xiong , Mingming Gong , Wei Huang , Runze Wu , Yu Ding , Tangjie Lv , Changjie Fan , Xiangnan Feng

Counterfactual Risk Minimization (CRM) is a framework for dealing with the logged bandit feedback problem, where the goal is to improve a logging policy using offline data. In this paper, we explore the case where it is possible to deploy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Houssam Zenati , Eustache Diemert , Matthieu Martin , Julien Mairal , Pierre Gaillard

Accurate and transparent prediction of cancer survival times on the level of individual patients can inform and improve patient care and treatment practices. In this paper, we design a model that concurrently learns to accurately predict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-31 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

In observational studies, treatment may be adapted to covariates at several times without a fixed protocol, in continuous time. Treatment influences covariates, which influence treatment, which influences covariates, and so on. Then even…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-02 Judith J. Lok

In personalized medicine, the ability to predict and optimize treatment outcomes across various time frames is essential. Additionally, the ability to select cost-effective treatments within specific budget constraints is critical. Despite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Thomas Schwarz , Cecilia Casolo , Niki Kilbertus

Counterfactual inference is a powerful tool, capable of solving challenging problems in high-profile sectors. To perform counterfactual inference, one requires knowledge of the underlying causal mechanisms. However, causal mechanisms cannot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-23 Athanasios Vlontzos , Bernhard Kainz , Ciaran M. Gilligan-Lee

Causal inference, or counterfactual prediction, is central to decision making in healthcare, policy and social sciences. To de-bias causal estimators with high-dimensional data in observational studies, recent advances suggest the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-20 Shuxi Zeng , Serge Assaad , Chenyang Tao , Shounak Datta , Lawrence Carin , Fan Li

In decision-making processes, stakeholders often rely on counterfactual explanations, which provide suggestions about what should be changed in the queried instance to alter the outcome of an AI system. However, generating these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Hongnan Ma , Yiwei Shi , Guanxiong Sun , Mengyue Yang , Weiru Liu

We study counterfactual prediction under assignment bias and propose a mathematically grounded, information-theoretic approach that removes treatment-covariate dependence without adversarial training. Starting from a bound that links the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Shiqin Tang , Rong Feng , Shuxin Zhuang , Youzhi Zhang , Hongzong Li

Estimation of treatment efficacy of real-world clinical interventions involves working with continuous outcomes such as time-to-death, re-hospitalization, or a composite event that may be subject to censoring. Counterfactual reasoning in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-11 Chirag Nagpal , Mononito Goswami , Keith Dufendach , Artur Dubrawski

We address the problem of counterfactual regression using causal inference (CI) in observational studies consisting of high dimensional covariates and high cardinality treatments. Confounding bias, which leads to inaccurate treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-12 Ankit Sharma , Garima Gupta , Ranjitha Prasad , Arnab Chatterjee , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Counterfactual inference enables clinicians to ask "what if" questions about patient outcomes, but standard methods assume feature independence and simultaneous modifiability -- assumptions violated by longitudinal clinical data. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-25 Jingya Cheng , Alaleh Azhir , Jiazi Tian , Hossein Estiri