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Switching state-space models (SSSM) are a very popular class of time series models that have found many applications in statistics, econometrics and advanced signal processing. Bayesian inference for these models typically relies on Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-11-11 Nick Whiteley , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet

The vulnerability of deep networks to adversarial attacks is a central problem for deep learning from the perspective of both cognition and security. The current most successful defense method is to train a classifier using adversarial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Mitch Hill , Jonathan Mitchell , Song-Chun Zhu

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Many existing deep learning models are vulnerable to adversarial examples that are imperceptible to humans. To address this issue, various methods have been proposed to design network architectures that are robust to one particular type of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-19 Jia Liu , Yaochu Jin

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is an established approach for uncertainty quantification and propagation in scientific applications. A key challenge in applying MCMC to scientific domains is computation: the target density of interest is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-05 Diana Cai , Ryan P. Adams

Many probabilistic models of interest in scientific computing and machine learning have expensive, black-box likelihoods that prevent the application of standard techniques for Bayesian inference, such as MCMC, which would require access to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-30 Luigi Acerbi

In this paper we propose to evaluate and compare Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to estimate the parameters in a generalized extreme value model. We employed the Bayesian approach using traditional Metropolis-Hastings methods,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-03 Marcelo Hartmann , Ricardo Ehlers

We propose a new framework for Bayesian estimation of differential privacy, incorporating evidence from multiple membership inference attacks (MIA). Bayesian estimation is carried out via a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, named…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Ceren Yildirim , Kamer Kaya , Sinan Yildirim , Erkay Savas

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Jeahan Jung , Minseok Choi

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled approach for assessing the relative merits of competing computational models and propagating uncertainty into model selection decisions. However, BMC is often intractable for the popular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Lasse Elsemüller , Martin Schnuerch , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

In the context of solving inverse problems for physics applications within a Bayesian framework, we present a new approach, Markov Chain Generative Adversarial Neural Networks (MCGANs), to alleviate the computational costs associated with…

We study Bayesian inversion for a model elliptic PDE with unknown diffusion coefficient. We provide complexity analyses of several Markov Chain-Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the efficient numerical evaluation of expectations under the…

数值分析 · 数学 2013-05-01 Viet Ha Hoang , Christoph Schwab , Andrew M. Stuart

Even though Bayesian neural networks offer a promising framework for modeling uncertainty, active learning and incorporating prior physical knowledge, few applications of them can be found in the context of interatomic force modeling. One…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-04-10 Tim Rensmeyer , Benjamin Craig , Denis Kramer , Oliver Niggemann

In the last few decades, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have been widely applied to Bayesian updating of structural dynamic models in the field of structural health monitoring. Recently, several MCMC algorithms have been developed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Xianghao Meng , James L. Beck , Yong Huang , Hui Li

In this paper, we investigate the impact of adversarial attacks on the explainability of deep learning models, which are commonly criticized for their black-box nature despite their capacity for autonomous feature extraction. This black-box…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Gazi Nazia Nur , Mohammad Ahnaf Sadat

Traditional deep learning (DL) models are powerful classifiers, but many approaches do not provide uncertainties for their estimates. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for DL models have received increased attention in the literature…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-14 Daniel Ries , Joshua Michalenko , Tyler Ganter , Rashad Imad-Fayez Baiyasi , Jason Adams

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

Rich data generating mechanisms are ubiquitous in this age of information and require complex statistical models to draw meaningful inference. While Bayesian analysis has seen enormous development in the last 30 years, benefitting from the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Radu V. Craiu , Evgeny Levi

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have shown substantial success in various applications but remain vulnerable to adversarial attacks. This study aims to identify and isolate the components of two different adversarial training techniques that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 William Brooks , Marelie H. Davel , Coenraad Mouton

Despite recent advances, sampling-based inference for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) remains a significant challenge in probabilistic deep learning. While sampling-based approaches do not require a variational distribution assumption,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Emanuel Sommer , Jakob Robnik , Giorgi Nozadze , Uros Seljak , David Rügamer