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We extend methods for finite-sample inference about the average treatment effect (ATE) in randomized experiments with binary outcomes to accommodate stratification (blocking). We present three valid methods that differ in their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Jiaxun Li , Jacob Spertus , Philip B. Stark

The first step towards investigating the effectiveness of a treatment via a randomized trial is to split the population into control and treatment groups then compare the average response of the treatment group receiving the treatment to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-30 Hossein Babaei , Sina Alemohammad , Richard Baraniuk

We argue that randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are special even among settings where average treatment effects are identified by a nonparametric unconfoundedness assumption. This claim follows from two results of Robins and Ritov (1997):…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 P. M. Aronow , James M. Robins , Theo Saarinen , Fredrik Sävje , Jasjeet Sekhon

In many health policy settings, adaptive interventions target a population of clusters (e.g., schools), with the ultimate intent of impacting outcomes at the level of individuals within the clusters. Health policy researchers can use…

The theoretical analysis of spectral clustering mainly focuses on consistency, while there is relatively little research on its generalization performance. In this paper, we study the excess risk bounds of the popular spectral clustering…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Shaojie Li , Sheng Ouyang , Yong Liu

We derive the variances of estimators for sample average treatment effects under the Neyman-Rubin potential outcomes model for arbitrary blocking assignments and an arbitrary number of treatments.

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-06 Michael J. Higgins , Fredrik Sävje , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Complete randomization balances covariates on average, but covariate imbalance often exists in finite samples. Rerandomization can ensure covariate balance in the realized experiment by discarding the undesired treatment assignments. Many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Xin Lu , Tianle Liu , Hanzhong Liu , Peng Ding

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating the causal effect of a treatment; however, they often have limited sample sizes and sometimes poor generalizability. On the other hand, non-randomized, observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-23 Shuxiao Chen , Bo Zhang , Ting Ye

We aim to generalize the results of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) to a target population with the help of some observational data. This is a problem of causal effect identification with multiple data sources. Challenges arise when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-15 Juha Karvanen

While sample sizes in randomized clinical trials are large enough to estimate the average treatment effect well, they are often insufficient for estimation of treatment-covariate interactions critical to studying data-driven precision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-22 Steve Yadlowsky , Fabio Pellegrini , Federica Lionetto , Stefan Braune , Lu Tian

Randomized trials are typically designed to detect average treatment effects but often lack the statistical power to uncover individual-level treatment effect heterogeneity, limiting their value for personalized decision-making. To address…

Randomized experiments (or A/B tests) are widely used to evaluate interventions in dynamic systems such as recommendation platforms, marketplaces, and digital health. In these settings, interventions affect both current and future system…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-08 Ramesh Johari , Tianyi Peng , Wenqian Xing

In this paper the estimation of the distribution function for potential outcomes to receiving or not receiving a treatment is studied. The approach is based on weighting observed data on the basis on estimated propensity score. A weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Pier Luigi Conti , Livia De Giovanni

In a clustered observational study, a treatment is assigned to groups and all units within the group are exposed to the treatment. We develop a new method for statistical adjustment in clustered observational studies using approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Luke Keele , Eli Ben-Michael , Lindsay Page

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Participants in clinical trials are often viewed as a unique, finite population. Yet, statistical analyses often assume that participants were randomly sampled from a larger population. Under Complete Randomization, Randomization-Based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Jonathan J. Chipman , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Diane Uschner

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are widely regarded as the gold standard for causal inference in biomedical research. For instance, when estimating the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT), a doubly robust estimation procedure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-26 Chi-Shian Dai , Chao Ying , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao

We study the problem of selecting the best heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimator from a collection of candidates in settings where the treatment effect is fundamentally unobserved. We cast estimator selection as a multiple testing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Jiayi Guo , Zijun Gao

When treatment effects are naturally expressed as ratios -- as in medicine, pricing, and marketing -- the ratio-based CATE $\tau(x) = E[Y|W=1,X=x] / E[Y|W=0,X=x]$ is the appropriate estimand. Yet existing estimators either impose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Michael Fuchs , Dominik Kreiss