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Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Deep neural networks such as BERT have made great progress in relation classification. Although they can achieve good performance, it is still a question of concern whether these models recognize the directionality of relations, especially…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Shengfei Lyu , Xingyu Wu , Jinlong Li , Qiuju Chen , Huanhuan Chen

We present a new approach for predictive modeling and its uncertainty quantification for mechanical systems, where coarse-grained models such as constitutive relations are derived directly from observation data. We explore the use of a…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-06-24 Daniel Z. Huang , Kailai Xu , Charbel Farhat , Eric Darve

When optimizing over-parameterized models, such as deep neural networks, a large set of parameters can achieve zero training error. In such cases, the choice of the optimization algorithm and its respective hyper-parameters introduces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Gauthier Gidel , Francis Bach , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-13 Stefan Haufe , Guido Nolte , Klaus-Robert Mueller , Nicole Kraemer

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

We propose a straightforward extension of symbolic transfer entropy to enable the investigation of delayed directional relationships between coupled dynamical systems from time series. Analyzing time series from chaotic model systems, we…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-10-10 Henning Dickten , Klaus Lehnertz

This paper proposes a Matrix Error Correction Model to identify cointegration relations in matrix-valued time series. We hereby allow separate cointegrating relations along the rows and columns of the matrix-valued time series and use…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-27 Alain Hecq , Ivan Ricardo , Ines Wilms

Forecasting relations between entities is paramount in the current era of data and AI. However, it is often overlooked that real-world relationships are inherently directional, involve more than two entities, and can change with time. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Tony Gracious , Arman Gupta , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Dynamical behaviors of complex interacting systems, including brain activities, financial price movements, and physical collective phenomena, are associated with underlying interactions between the system's components. The issue of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 Shuhan Zheng , Ziqiang Li , Kantaro Fujiwara , Gouhei Tanaka

We propose an informal test for stationarity in a time series which checks for the compatibility of nonlinear approximations to the dynamics made in different segments of the sequence. The segments are compared directly, rather than via…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

Novel method of reconstructing dynamical networks from empirically measured time series is proposed. By examining the variable--derivative correlation of network node pairs, we derive a simple equation that directly yields the adjacency…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-10-09 Zoran Levnajić

Recently, optimal time variable learning in deep neural networks (DNNs) was introduced in arXiv:2204.08528. In this manuscript we extend the concept by introducing a regularization term that directly relates to the time horizon in discrete…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-07 Evelyn Herberg , Roland Herzog , Frederik Köhne

Social robot navigation can be helpful in various contexts of daily life but requires safe human-robot interactions and efficient trajectory planning. While modeling pairwise relations has been widely studied in multi-agent interacting…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-13 Jiachen Li , Chuanbo Hua , Jianpeng Yao , Hengbo Ma , Jinkyoo Park , Victoria Dax , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Many inductive logic programming approaches struggle to learn programs from noisy data. To overcome this limitation, we introduce an approach that learns minimal description length programs from noisy data, including recursive programs. Our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Céline Hocquette , Andreas Niskanen , Matti Järvisalo , Andrew Cropper

Real world systems evolve in continuous-time according to their underlying causal relationships, yet their dynamics are often unknown. Existing approaches to learning such dynamics typically either discretize time -- leading to poor…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Nicholas Tagliapietra , Katharina Ensinger , Christoph Zimmer , Osman Mian

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

To gain insight into complex systems it is a key challenge to infer nonlinear causal directional relations from observational time-series data. Specifically, estimating causal relationships between interacting components in large systems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 Axel Wismüller , Adora M. DSouza , Anas Z. Abidin

Link prediction is a widely studied task in Graph Representation Learning (GRL) for modeling relational data. The early theories in GRL were based on the assumption of a symmetric adjacency matrix, reflecting an undirected setting. As a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Jun Zhai , Muberra Ozmen , Thomas Markovich

Neural relation extraction discovers semantic relations between entities from unstructured text using deep learning methods. In this study, we present a comprehensive review of methods on neural network based relation extraction. We discuss…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Mehmet Aydar , Ozge Bozal , Furkan Ozbay