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Bayesian model selection commonly relies on Laplace approximation or the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), which assume that the effective model dimension equals the number of parameters. Singular learning theory replaces this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Kalyaan Rao

This article carries out a large dimensional analysis of standard regularized discriminant analysis classifiers designed on the assumption that data arise from a Gaussian mixture model with different means and covariances. The analysis…

We show the convergence of the characteristic polynomial for random permutation matrices sampled from the generalized Ewens distribution. Under this distribution, the measure of a given permutation depends only on its cycle structure,…

组合数学 · 数学 2025-12-05 Quentin François

Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) obtains essential information from data by using Bayesian inference. It is applied to knowledge discovery via dimension reducing and clustering in many fields. However, its generalization error had not been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Naoki Hayashi

The marginal likelihood or evidence in Bayesian statistics contains an intrinsic penalty for larger model sizes and is a fundamental quantity in Bayesian model comparison. Over the past two decades, there has been steadily increasing…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-08-12 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Sean Plummer

Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) is useful in document analysis, image processing, and many information systems; however, its generalization performance has been left unknown because it is a singular learning machine to which regular…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-21 Naoki Hayashi , Sumio Watanabe

In applications such as gene regulatory network analysis based on single-cell RNA sequencing data, samples often come from a mixture of different populations and each population has its own unique network. Available graphical models often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-08 Junjie Tang , Changhu Wang , Feiyi Xiao , Ruibin Xi

Random-effects models are central to meta-analysis, yet the between-study variance is often underestimated when the number of studies is small. In such settings, confidence intervals become unduly narrow and fail to attain the nominal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Keisuke Hanada , Tomoyuki Sugimoto

Prompt isolated leptons are essential in many analyses in high-energy particle physics but are subject to fake-lepton background, i.e. objects that mimic the lepton signature. The fake-lepton background is difficult to estimate from…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2022-07-25 Johannes Erdmann , Cornelius Grunwald , Kevin Kröninger , Salvatore La Cagnina , Lars Röhrig , Erich Varnes

Tensor decomposition is now being used for data analysis, information compression, and knowledge recovery. However, the mathematical property of tensor decomposition is not yet fully clarified because it is one of singular learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Naoki Yoshida , Sumio Watanabe

The "rare type match problem" is the situation in which the suspect's DNA profile, matching the DNA profile of the crime stain, is not in the database of reference. The evaluation of this match in the light of the two competing hypotheses…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-30 Giulia Cereda , Richard D. Gill

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

组合数学 · 数学 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

Multinomial mixtures are widely used in the information engineering field, however, their mathematical properties are not yet clarified because they are singular learning models. In fact, the models are non-identifiable and their Fisher…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-15 Takumi Watanabe , Sumio Watanabe

This article concerns a class of generalized linear mixed models for clustered data, where the random effects are mapped uniquely onto the grouping structure and are independent between groups. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Jarod Y. L. Lee , Peter J. Green , Louise M. Ryan

In this paper, we derive a unified method for establishing the distributional convergence of linear eigenvalue statistics (LES) for generalized patterned random matrices. We prove that for an $N \times N$ generalized patterned random matrix…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-14 Kiran Kumar A. S. , Shambhu Nath Maurya , Koushik Saha

We study the reknown deconvolution problem of recovering a distribution function from independent replicates (signal) additively contaminated with random errors (noise), whose distribution is known. We investigate whether a Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-15 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-25 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

We aim to generalize the results of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) to a target population with the help of some observational data. This is a problem of causal effect identification with multiple data sources. Challenges arise when the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-15 Juha Karvanen

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in statistics. It states that the standardized sample mean of a sequence of $n$ mutually independent and identically distributed random variables with finite first and…

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