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An agent chooses an action based on her private information and a recommendation from an informed but potentially misaligned adviser. With a known probability, the adviser truthfully reports his signal; with the remaining probability, he…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-20 Piotr Dworczak , Alex Smolin

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In this dynamics, a belief estimate of the parameter is repeatedly updated given players' strategies and realized…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-09-06 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

We consider an infinite collection of agents who make decisions, sequentially, about an unknown underlying binary state of the world. Each agent, prior to making a decision, receives an independent private signal whose distribution depends…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-09-07 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John Tsitsiklis

Classical reinforcement learning assumes the agent interacts with a fixed environment whose behavior does not depend on the agent's policy. This assumption breaks down in non-realizable settings where other actors might anticipate the…

We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

We analyze a model of learning and belief formation in networks in which agents follow Bayes rule yet they do not recall their history of past observations and cannot reason about how other agents' beliefs are formed. They do so by making…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-29 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

Non-Bayesian social learning theory provides a framework for distributed inference of a group of agents interacting over a social network by sequentially communicating and updating beliefs about the unknown state of the world through…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-25 James Z. Hare , Cesar Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

We study computational questions in a game-theoretic model that, in particular, aims to capture advertising/persuasion applications such as viral marketing. Specifically, we consider a multi-agent Bayesian persuasion model where an informed…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-03-07 Yakov Babichenko , Siddharth Barman

Collective intelligence is believed to underly the remarkable success of human society. The formation of accurate shared beliefs is one of the key components of human collective intelligence. How are accurate shared beliefs formed in groups…

This work is a technical approach to modeling false information nature, design, belief impact and containment in multi-agent networks. We present a Bayesian mathematical model for source information and viewer's belief, and how the former…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-04-06 Amin Khajehnejad , Shima Hajimirza

We investigate the problem of truth discovery based on opinions from multiple agents who may be unreliable or biased. We consider the case where agents' reliabilities or biases are correlated if they belong to the same community, which…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-04-30 Jielong Yang , Junshan Wang , Wee Peng Tay

The dominant theories of rational choice assume logical omniscience. That is, they assume that when facing a decision problem, an agent can perform all relevant computations and determine the truth value of all relevant logical/mathematical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-12 Caspar Oesterheld , Abram Demski , Vincent Conitzer

As one of the classic models that describe the belief dynamics over social networks, a non-Bayesian social learning model assumes that members in the network possess accurate signal knowledge through the process of Bayesian inference. In…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-05-21 Sannyuya Liu , Zhonghua Yan , Xiufeng Cheng , Liang Zhao

An agent acquires information dynamically until her belief about a binary state reaches an upper or lower threshold. She can choose any signal process subject to a constraint on the rate of entropy reduction. Strategies are ordered by "time…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-23 Daniel Chen , Weijie Zhong

We study learning dynamics induced by strategic agents who repeatedly play a game with an unknown payoff-relevant parameter. In each step, an information system estimates a belief distribution of the parameter based on the players'…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-20 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman Ozdaglar

Statistical protocols are often used for decision-making involving multiple parties, each with their own incentives, private information, and ability to influence the distributional properties of the data. We study a game-theoretic version…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Flora C. Shi , Stephen Bates , Martin J. Wainwright

In recent years, researchers in decision analysis and artificial intelligence (AI) have used Bayesian belief networks to build models of expert opinion. Using standard methods drawn from the theory of computational complexity, workers in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 R. Martin Chavez , Gregory F. Cooper

Multi-agent decision-making under uncertainty is fundamental for effective and safe autonomous operation. In many real-world scenarios, each agent maintains its own belief over the environment and must plan actions accordingly. However,…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Moshe Rafaeli Shimron , Vadim Indelman

Interest in how democracies form consensus has increased recently, with statistical physics and economics approaches both suggesting that there is convergence to a fixed point in belief networks, but with fluctuations in opinions when there…

生物物理 · 物理学 2024-05-30 Emily Dong , Sarah Marzen

The belief network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independences in a joint probability distribution. The methods, which perform probabilistic inference in belief networks, often treat the conditional probabilities…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan