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Multinomial logistic regression models allow one to predict the risk of a categorical outcome with more than 2 categories. When developing such a model, researchers should ensure the number of participants (n) is appropriate relative to the…

We study high-dimensional least-squares regression within a subgaussian statistical learning framework with heterogeneous noise. It includes $s$-sparse and $r$-low-rank least-squares regression when a fraction $\epsilon$ of the labels are…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-01 Philip Thompson

Subsampling is a computationally effective approach to extract information from massive data sets when computing resources are limited. After a subsample is taken from the full data, most available methods use an inverse probability…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-11 HaiYing Wang , Jae Kwang Kim

The classical asymptotic theory for parametric $M$-estimators guarantees that, in the limit of infinite sample size, the excess risk has a chi-square type distribution, even in the misspecified case. We demonstrate how self-concordance of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-01 Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach

Probabilistic classifiers are central for making informed decisions under uncertainty. Based on the maximum expected utility principle, optimal decision rules can be derived using the posterior class probabilities and misclassification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gael Varoquaux , Sanmi Koyejo , Matthieu Doutreligne , Marine Le Morvan

We establish risk bounds for Regularized Empirical Risk Minimizers (RERM) when the loss is Lipschitz and convex and the regularization function is a norm. In a first part, we obtain these results in the i.i.d. setup under subgaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-07 Geoffrey Chinot , Guillaume Lecué , Matthieu Lerasle

This paper describes several new algorithms for estimating the parameters of a periodic bandlimited signal from samples corrupted by jitter (timing noise) and additive noise. Both classical (non-random) and Bayesian formulations are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-08 Daniel S. Weller , Vivek K Goyal

Discrete stochastic optimization considers the problem of minimizing (or maximizing) loss functions defined on discrete sets, where only noisy measurements of the loss functions are available. The discrete stochastic optimization problem is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-11-04 Qi Wang

We investigate the problem of best policy identification in discounted linear Markov Decision Processes in the fixed confidence setting under a generative model. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound on the expected number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Jerome Taupin , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

Detection limit (DL) has become an increasingly ubiquitous issue in statistical analyses of biomedical studies, such as cytokine, metabolite and protein analysis. In regression analysis, if an explanatory variable is left-censored due to…

Minimax problems have achieved success in machine learning such as adversarial training, robust optimization, reinforcement learning. For theoretical analysis, current optimal excess risk bounds, which are composed by generalization error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

We consider the problem of online reinforcement learning for the Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) problem modeled as an unknown MDP with an absorbing state. We propose PSRL-SSP, a simple posterior sampling-based reinforcement learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Mehdi Jafarnia-Jahromi , Liyu Chen , Rahul Jain , Haipeng Luo

The density ratio is an important metric for evaluating the relative likelihood of two probability distributions, with extensive applications in statistics and machine learning. However, existing estimation theories for density ratios often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-03 Shuntuo Xu , Zhou Yu , Jian Huang

We consider the problem of stochastic convex optimization with exp-concave losses using Empirical Risk Minimization in a convex class. Answering a question raised in several prior works, we provide a $O( d / n + \log( 1 / \delta) / n )$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Nikita Puchkin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study the computational complexity and variance of multilevel best linear unbiased estimators introduced in [D. Schaden and E. Ullmann, SIAM/ASA J. Uncert. Quantif., (2020)]. We specialize the results in this work to PDE-based models…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-11 Daniel Schaden , Elisabeth Ullmann

This work investigates the offline formulation of the contextual bandit problem, where the goal is to leverage past interactions collected under a behavior policy to evaluate, select, and learn new, potentially better-performing, policies.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-01 Otmane Sakhi , Imad Aouali , Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Chopin

We derive a new asymptotic expansion for the global excess risk of a local-$k$-nearest neighbour classifier, where the choice of $k$ may depend upon the test point. This expansion elucidates conditions under which the dominant contribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-21 Timothy I. Cannings , Thomas B. Berrett , Richard J. Samworth

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2017-11-01 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

For the problem of high-dimensional sparse linear regression, it is known that an $\ell_0$-based estimator can achieve a $1/n$ "fast" rate on the prediction error without any conditions on the design matrix, whereas in absence of…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-01 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

For classification problems with significant class imbalance, subsampling can reduce computational costs at the price of inflated variance in estimating model parameters. We propose a method for subsampling efficiently for logistic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-09-24 William Fithian , Trevor Hastie