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Small area estimation (SAE) entails estimating characteristics of interest for domains, often geographical areas, in which there may be few or no samples available. SAE has a long history and a wide variety of methods have been suggested,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-19 Jon Wakefield , Taylor Okonek , Jon Pedersen

When doing impact evaluation and making causal inferences, it is important to acknowledge the heterogeneity of the treatment effects for different domains (geographic, socio-demographic, or socio-economic). If the domain of interest is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Setareh Ranjbar , Nicola Salvati , Barbara Pacini

Housing expenditure tends to be sticky and costly to adjust, and makes up a large proportion of household expenditure. Additionally, the loss of housing can have catastrophic consequences. These specific features of housing expenditure…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-05-04 Timothy Ludlow , Jonas Fooken , Christiern Rose , Kam Tang

The need for rigorous and timely health and demographic summaries has provided the impetus for an explosion in geographic studies, with a common approach being the production of pixel-level maps, particularly in low and middle income…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-16 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

We revisit the theoretical properties of Hamiltonian stochastic differential equations (SDES) for Bayesian posterior sampling, and we study the two types of errors that arise from numerical SDE simulation: the discretization error and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-08 Giulio Franzese , Dimitrios Milios , Maurizio Filippone , Pietro Michiardi

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

Area-level models for small area estimation typically rely on areal random effects to shrink design-based direct estimates towards a model-based predictor. Incorporating the spatial dependence of the random effects into these models can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-22 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

Small area estimation (SAE) is a common endeavor and is used in a variety of disciplines. In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), in which household surveys provide the most reliable and timely source of data, SAE is vital for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Jon Wakefield , Jitong Jiang , Yunhan Wu

Spatial regression is widely used for modeling the relationship between a dependent variable and explanatory covariates. Oftentimes, the linear relationships vary across space, when some covariates have location-specific effects on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Xin Wang , Zhengyuan Zhu , Hao Helen Zhang

Housing instability is a widespread phenomenon in the United States. In combination with other social determinants of health, housing instability affects children's overall health and development. Drawing on data from the 2022 National…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-10-24 Rachael Zehrung , Di Hu , Yawen Guo , Kai Zheng , Yunan Chen

Evaluating the effects of time-varying exposures is essential for longitudinal studies. The effect estimation becomes increasingly challenging when dealing with hundreds of time-dependent confounders. We propose a Marginal Structure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Zhiwei Zhao , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

In supervised learning, training and test datasets are often sampled from distinct distributions. Domain adaptation techniques are thus required. Covariate shift adaptation yields good generalization performance when domains differ only by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Felipe Maia Polo , Renato Vicente

Small area estimation has become an important tool in official statistics, used to construct estimates of population quantities for domains with small sample sizes. Typical area-level models function as a type of heteroscedastic regression,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

Many real-world applications generate continuous data streams for regression. Hoeffding trees and their variants have a long-standing tradition due to their effectiveness, either alone or as base models in broader ensembles. Recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Pantia-Marina Alchirch , Dimitrios I. Diochnos

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are increasingly used in longitudinal data analysis, compartmental models, growth modelling, and other applications in a number of disciplines. Parameter estimation, however, currently requires…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-12 Oscar García

Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) studies enable the collection of high-frequency self-reports of suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STBs) via smartphones. Latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a promising model class for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Malinda Lu , Yue-Jane Liu , Matthew K. Nock , Yaniv Yacoby

Unmeasured spatial confounding complicates exposure effect estimation in environmental health studies. This problem is exacerbated in studies with multiple health outcomes and environmental exposure variables, as the source and magnitude of…

The increasing availability of complex survey data, and the continued need for estimates of demographic and health indicators at a fine spatial and temporal scale, which leads to issues of data sparsity, has led to the need for…

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