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We study confidence intervals based on hard-thresholding, soft-thresholding, and adaptive soft-thresholding in a linear regression model where the number of regressors $k$ may depend on and diverge with sample size $n$. In addition to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-08 Ulrike Schneider

We study the estimation error of constrained M-estimators, and derive explicit upper bounds on the expected estimation error determined by the Gaussian width of the constraint set. Both of the cases where the true parameter is on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-29 Yen-Huan Li , Ya-Ping Hsieh , Nissim Zerbib , Volkan Cevher

When it is acknowledged that all candidate parameterised statistical models are misspecified relative to the data generating process, the decision maker (DM) must currently concern themselves with inference for the parameter value…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-04 Jack Jewson , Jim Q Smith , Chris Holmes

This paper studies and critically discusses the construction of nonparametric confidence regions for density level sets. Methodologies based on both vertical variation and horizontal variation are considered. The investigations provide…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-05 Wanli Qiao , Wolfgang Polonik

Recently, it has been shown that Machine Learning models can leak sensitive information about their training data. This information leakage is exposed through membership and attribute inference attacks. Although many attack strategies have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-08 Ganesh Del Grosso , Georg Pichler , Catuscia Palamidessi , Pablo Piantanida

To estimate causal effects from observational data, an applied researcher must impose beliefs. The instrumental variables exclusion restriction, for example, represents the belief that the instrument has no direct effect on the outcome of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-17 Francis J. DiTraglia , Camilo Garcia-Jimeno

Transductive conformal prediction addresses the simultaneous prediction for multiple data points. Given a desired confidence level, the objective is to construct a prediction set that includes the true outcomes with the prescribed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-08 Arash Behboodi , Alvaro H. C. Correia , Fabio Valerio Massoli , Christos Louizos

We compare the following two sources of poor coverage of post-model-selection confidence intervals: the preliminary data-based model selection sometimes chooses the wrong model and the data used to choose the model is re-used for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer

The prediction interval has been increasingly used in meta-analyses as a useful measure for assessing the magnitude of treatment effect and between-studies heterogeneity. In calculations of the prediction interval, although the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-14 Yuta Hamaguchi , Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Tomohide Yamada , Toshi A. Furukawa

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

We prove finite-sample concentration and anti-concentration bounds for dimension estimation using Gaussian kernel sums. Our bounds provide explicit dependence on sample size, bandwidth, and local geometric and distributional parameters,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-24 Martin Andersson

Confidence intervals are assessed according to two criteria, namely expected length and coverage probability. In an attempt to apply the decision-theoretic method to finding a good confidence interval, a loss function that is a linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila

Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-24 Pallavi Basu , Yang Feng , Jinchi Lv

Astronomers often deal with data where the covariates and the dependent variable are measured with heteroscedastic non-Gaussian error. For instance, while TESS and Kepler datasets provide a wealth of information, addressing the challenges…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-12-17 Naomi Giertych , Jonathan P Williams , Sujit Ghosh

Hypothesis testing is a statistical inference framework for determining the true distribution among a set of possible distributions for a given dataset. Privacy restrictions may require the curator of the data or the respondents themselves…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-04-28 Jiachun Liao , Lalitha Sankar , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Flavio P. Calmon

Publication selection bias undermines the systematic accumulation of evidence. To assess the extent of this problem, we survey over 68,000 meta-analyses containing over 700,000 effect size estimates from medicine (67,386/597,699),…

We derive concentration inequalities for the supremum norm of the difference between a kernel density estimator (KDE) and its point-wise expectation that hold uniformly over the selection of the bandwidth and under weaker conditions on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-01 Jisu Kim , Jaehyeok Shin , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

In various applications of regression analysis, in addition to errors in the dependent observations also errors in the predictor variables play a substantial role and need to be incorporated in the statistical modeling process. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-03 Katharina Proksch , Nicolai Bissantz , Hajo Holzmann

Models of weak-scale supersymmetry offer viable dark matter (DM) candidates. Their parameter spaces are however rather large and complex, such that pinning down the actual parameter values from experimental data can depend strongly on the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2011-07-14 Yashar Akrami , Christopher Savage , Pat Scott , Jan Conrad , Joakim Edsjö

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel