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Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity widely informs treatment decision making. At the moment, much emphasis is placed on the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect via flexible machine learning algorithms. While these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-07 Lihua Lei , Emmanuel J. Candès

Adaptive experiments such as multi-arm bandits adapt the treatment-allocation policy and/or the decision to stop the experiment to the data observed so far. This has the potential to improve outcomes for study participants within the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-03 Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus

I introduce a generic method for inference on entire quantile and regression quantile processes in the presence of a finite number of large and arbitrarily heterogeneous clusters. The method asymptotically controls size by generating…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-16 Andreas Hagemann

No man is an island, as individuals interact and influence one another daily in our society. When social influence takes place in experiments on a population of interconnected individuals, the treatment on a unit may affect the outcomes of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-30 Edward K. Kao

Factorial experiments are ubiquitous in the social and biomedical sciences, but when units fail to comply with each assigned factors, identification and estimation of the average treatment effects become impossible without strong…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Matthew Blackwell , Nicole E. Pashley

The fundamental problem of causal inference -- that we never observe counterfactuals -- prevents us from identifying how many might be negatively affected by a proposed intervention. If, in an A/B test, half of users click (or buy, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-22 Nathan Kallus

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Binary observations are often repeated to improve data quality, creating technical replicates. Several scoring methods are commonly used to infer the actual individual state and obtain a probability for each state. The common practice of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-24 Manuela Royer-Carenzi , Hadrien Lorenzo , Pierre Pudlo

It is standard practice in online retail to run pricing experiments by randomizing at the article-level, i.e. by changing prices of different products to identify treatment effects. Due to customers' cross-price substitution behavior, such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-23 Lars Roemheld , Justin Rao

This paper describes recent work on an ongoing project in medical diagnosis at the University of Guelph. A domain on which experts are not very good at pinpointing a single disease outcome is explored. On-line medical data is available over…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Mary McLeish , P. Yao , T. Stirtzinger

In this work, we consider causal inference in various high-dimensional treatment settings, including for single multi-valued treatments and vector treatments with binary or continuous components, when the number of treatments can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-26 Patrick Kramer , Edward H. Kennedy , Isaac M. Opper

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

We investigate large-sample properties of treatment effect estimators under unknown interference in randomized experiments. The inferential target is a generalization of the average treatment effect estimand that marginalizes over potential…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-25 Fredrik Sävje , Peter M. Aronow , Michael G. Hudgens

In healthcare, there is much interest in estimating policies, or mappings from covariates to treatment decisions. Recently, there is also interest in constraining these estimated policies to the standard of care, which generated the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Samuel J. Weisenthal , Sally W. Thurston , Ashkan Ertefaie

We study causal inference under case-control and case-population sampling. Specifically, we focus on the binary-outcome and binary-treatment case, where the parameters of interest are causal relative and attributable risks defined via the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-24 Sung Jae Jun , Sokbae Lee

This paper considers inference in a linear instrumental variable regression model with many potentially weak instruments, in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. I first show that existing test procedures, including those that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-24 Luther Yap

Interference occurs when the potential outcomes of a unit depend on the treatment of others. Interference can be highly heterogeneous, where treating certain individuals might have a larger effect on the population's overall outcome. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-11 Samantha G Dean , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Laura Forastiere

In a wide variety of applications, including personalization, we want to measure the difference in outcome due to an intervention and thus have to deal with counterfactual inference. The feedback from a customer in any of these situations…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-08-24 Abhimanyu Mitra , Kannan Achan , Sushant Kumar

The efficacy of an intervention can be assessed by randomizing patients to different diagnostic tests instead of directly to an intervention and control. This principle is applied by allocating individuals to intervention if the test result…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-11 Huw Llewelyn

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten