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相关论文: Frequentist Consistency of Generalized Variational…

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We establish some results for the rate of convergence in total variation of a Gibbs sampler to its equilibrium distribution. This sampler is motivated by a hierarchical Bayesian inference construction for a gamma random variable. Our…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-08 Oliver Jovanovski , Neal Madras

In this paper we propose an objective Bayesian estimation approach for the parameters of the generalized gamma distribution. Various reference priors are obtained, but showing that they lead to improper posterior distributions. We overcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-19 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada

Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) is a widely used method for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions by product measures. It has been empirically observed that MFVI optimizers often suffer from mode collapse.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Shunan Sheng , Bohan Wu , Alberto González-Sanz

Generalized likelihoods are commonly used to obtain consistent estimators with attractive computational and robustness properties. Formally, any generalized likelihood can be used to define a generalized posterior distribution, but an…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-04 Jeffrey W. Miller

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

For numerous parameter and state estimation problems, assimilating new data as they become available can help produce accurate and fast inference of unknown quantities. While most existing algorithms for solving those kind of ill-posed…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-07-28 Neil K. Chada , Marco A. Iglesias , Shuai Lu , Frank Werner

Mean-field variational inference (MFVI) has been widely applied in large scale Bayesian inference. However MFVI, which assumes a product distribution on the latent variables, often leads to objective functions with many local optima, making…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-03 Mingzhang Yin , Y. X. Rachel Wang , Purnamrita Sarkar

Variational inference (VI) is widely used as an efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. It posits a family of approximating distributions $q$ and finds the closest member to the exact posterior $p$. Closeness is usually measured…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Adji B. Dieng , Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , John Paisley , David M. Blei

Each training step for a variational autoencoder (VAE) requires us to sample from the approximate posterior, so we usually choose simple (e.g. factorised) approximate posteriors in which sampling is an efficient computation that fully…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-29 Laurence Aitchison , Vincent Adam , Srinivas C. Turaga

Stochastic variational inference for collapsed models has recently been successfully applied to large scale topic modelling. In this paper, we propose a stochastic collapsed variational inference algorithm in the sequential data setting.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Pengyu Wang , Phil Blunsom

Gaussian graphical model is one of the powerful tools to analyze conditional independence between two variables for multivariate Gaussian-distributed observations. When the dimension of data is moderate or high, penalized likelihood methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

Variational inference methods often focus on the problem of efficient model optimization, with little emphasis on the choice of the approximating posterior. In this paper, we review and implement the various methods that enable us to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Siddhartha Saxena , Shibhansh Dohare , Jaivardhan Kapoor

We consider the problem of learning a Gaussian variational approximation to the posterior distribution for a high-dimensional parameter, where we impose sparsity in the precision matrix to reflect appropriate conditional independence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-23 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

This report provides an in-depth overview over the implications and novelty Generalized Variational Inference (GVI) (Knoblauch et al., 2019) brings to Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) (Damianou & Lawrence, 2013). Specifically, robustness to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-22 Jeremias Knoblauch

In this article, we rigorously establish the consistency of generalized cross-validation as a parameter-choice rule for solving inverse problems. We prove that the index chosen by leave-one-out GCV achieves a non-asymptotic, order-optimal…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-18 Tim Jahn , Mikhail Kirilin

Gibbs posteriors are proportional to a prior distribution multiplied by an exponentiated loss function, with a key tuning parameter weighting information in the loss relative to the prior and providing a control of posterior uncertainty.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Steven Winter , Omar Melikechi , David B. Dunson

Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) [Liu and Wang, 2016] performs approximate Bayesian inference by representing the posterior with a set of particles. However, SVGD suffers from variance collapse, i.e. poor predictions due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Ola Rønning , Eric Nalisnick , Christophe Ley , Padhraic Smyth , Thomas Hamelryck

Gaussian variational approximations are widely used for summarizing posterior distributions in Bayesian models, especially in high-dimensional settings. However, a drawback of such approximations is the inability to capture skewness or more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Lucas Kock , Linda S. L. Tan , Prateek Bansal , David J. Nott