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This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

We propose a robust and scalable framework for variational Bayes (VB) that effectively handles outliers and contamination of arbitrary nature in large datasets. Our approach divides the dataset into disjoint subsets, computes the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-18 Carlos Misael Madrid Padilla , Shitao Fan , Lizhen Lin

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) constructs approximate posteriors of the form $q(\theta) = \int k(\theta | z) r(dz)$, where the conditional kernel is parameterized and the mixing base is fixed and tractable. This paper develops a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-09 Sean Plummer

For ill-posed inverse problems, a regularised solution can be interpreted as a mode of the posterior distribution in a Bayesian framework. This framework enriches the set the solutions, as other posterior estimates can be used as a solution…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-22 Natalia Bochkina

The Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) is a popular tool for incorporating sparsity into joint multivariate distributions. The G-Wishart distribution, a conjugate prior for precision matrices satisfying general GGM constraints, has now been in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-15 Yuan Cheng , Alex Lenkoski

Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

This paper explores certain kinds of empirical process with respect to the components of multivariate Gaussian. We put forward some finite sample bounds which hold for multivariate Gaussian under general dependence. We give necessary and…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-03 Jikai Hou

Robust statistics traditionally focuses on outliers, or perturbations in total variation distance. However, a dataset could be corrupted in many other ways, such as systematic measurement errors and missing covariates. We generalize the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Banghua Zhu , Jiantao Jiao , Jacob Steinhardt

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

Machine learning has made tremendous progress in recent years, with models matching or even surpassing humans on a series of specialized tasks. One key element behind the progress of machine learning in recent years has been the ability to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Giorgi Nadiradze , Ilia Markov , Bapi Chatterjee , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Dan Alistarh

Current black-box variational inference (BBVI) methods require the user to make numerous design choices -- such as the selection of variational objective and approximating family -- yet there is little principled guidance on how to do so.…

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $\beta$-H\"{o}lder class with an exponentially decreasing tail,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Kyoungjae Lee , Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin

Regression models with both high-dimensional responses and covariates have attracted growing attention. Standard multivariate regression models become inadequate when the response variables depend not only on observed covariates but also on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-01 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Yunxiao Chen , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

We consider the problem of fitting variational posterior approximations using stochastic optimization methods. The performance of these approximations depends on (1) how well the variational family matches the true posterior…

Variational inference (VI) has become the method of choice for fitting many modern probabilistic models. However, practitioners are faced with a fragmented literature that offers a bewildering array of algorithmic options. First, the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-29 Thang D. Bui , Cuong V. Nguyen , Siddharth Swaroop , Richard E. Turner

Variational approaches to disparity estimation typically use a linearised brightness constancy constraint, which only applies in smooth regions and over small distances. Accordingly, current variational approaches rely on a schedule to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-28 James L. Gray , Aous T. Naman , David S. Taubman

Sampling and Variational Inference (VI) are two large families of methods for approximate inference that have complementary strengths. Sampling methods excel at approximating arbitrary probability distributions, but can be inefficient. VI…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-07 Richard D. Lange , Ari Benjamin , Ralf M. Haefner , Xaq Pitkow
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