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The standard practice of query performance prediction (QPP) evaluation is to measure a set-level correlation between the estimated retrieval qualities and the true ones. However, neither this correlation-based evaluation measure quantifies…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Payel Santra , Partha Basuchowdhuri , Debasis Ganguly

Gaussian processes are rich distributions over functions, with generalization properties determined by a kernel function. When used for long-range extrapolation, predictions are particularly sensitive to the choice of kernel parameters. It…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-05 Phillip A. Jang , Andrew E. Loeb , Matthew B. Davidow , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We consider a general regression model, without a scale parameter. Our aim is to construct a confidence interval for a scalar parameter of interest $\theta$ that utilizes the uncertain prior information that a distinct scalar parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-17 Paul Kabaila , Nishika Ranathunga

This paper serves as a reference and introduction to using the R package dapper. dapper encodes a sampling framework which allows exact Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation of parameters and latent variables in a statistical model given…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Kevin Eng , Jordan A. Awan , Nianqiao Phyllis Ju , Vinayak A. Rao , Ruobin Gong

Particularly in low-data regimes, an outstanding challenge in machine learning is developing principled techniques for augmenting our models with suitable priors. This is to encourage them to learn in ways that are compatible with our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Kristy Choi , Chris Cundy , Sanjari Srivastava , Stefano Ermon

Correlation among the observations in high-dimensional regression modeling can be a major source of confounding. We present a new open-source package, plmmr, to implement penalized linear mixed models in R. This R package estimates…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Tabitha K. Peter , Anna C. Reisetter , Yujing Lu , Oscar A. Rysavy , Patrick J. Breheny

A prediction interval is a statistical interval that should encompass one (or more) future observation(s) with a given coverage probability and is usually computed based on historical control data. The application of prediction intervals is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-08 Max Menssen

We present a comprehensive R software ivmodel for analyzing instrumental variables with one endogenous variable. The package implements a general class of estimators called k- class estimators and two confidence intervals that are fully…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Hyunseung Kang , Yang Jiang , Qingyuan Zhao , Dylan S. Small

We introduce new Gaussian Process (GP) high-order approximations to linear operations that are frequently used in various numerical methods. Our method employs the kernel-based GP regression modeling, a non-parametric Bayesian approach to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-06-09 Christopher DeGrendele , Dongwook Lee

Prediction rule ensembles (PREs) are sparse collections of rules, offering highly interpretable regression and classification models. This paper presents the R package pre, which derives PREs through the methodology of Friedman and Popescu…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-31 Marjolein Fokkema

The R package micompr implements a procedure for assessing if two or more multivariate samples are drawn from the same distribution. The procedure uses principal component analysis to convert multivariate observations into a set of linearly…

数学软件 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Nuno Fachada , João Rodrigues , Vitor V. Lopes , Rui C. Martins , Agostinho C. Rosa

Robust statistical data modelling under potential model mis-specification often requires leaving the parametric world for the nonparametric. In the latter, parameters are infinite dimensional objects such as functions, probability…

Data transformations are essential for broad applicability of parametric regression models. However, for Bayesian analysis, joint inference of the transformation and model parameters typically involves restrictive parametric transformations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-29 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Gaussian process (GP) priors are non-parametric generative models with appealing modelling properties for Bayesian inference: they can model non-linear relationships through noisy observations, have closed-form expressions for training and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-31 Gonzalo Rios

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

In high-dimensional problems, choosing a prior distribution such that the corresponding posterior has desirable practical and theoretical properties can be challenging. This begs the question: can the data be used to help choose a good…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-25 Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

Motivated by the statistical evaluation of complex computer models, we deal with the issue of objective prior specification for the parameters of Gaussian processes. In particular, we derive the Jeffreys-rule, independence Jeffreys and…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Rui Paulo

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior provides an objective, automatic, consistent and parsimonious model selection procedure. At the same time it resolves the conceptual and computational problems due to the use of imaginary data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis