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Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

The method of instrumental variables (IV) provides a framework to study causal effects in both randomized experiments with noncompliance and in observational studies where natural circumstances produce as-if random nudges to accept…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-07 Hyunseung Kang , Laura Peck , Luke Keele

Computer models play a crucial role in numerous scientific and engineering domains. To ensure the accuracy of simulations, it is essential to properly calibrate the input parameters of these models through statistical inference. While…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-07 Dongkyu Derek Cho , Won Chang , Jaewoo Park

Sampling is a fundamental aspect of any implementation of compressive sensing. Typically, the choice of sampling method is guided by the reconstruction basis. However, this approach can be problematic with respect to certain hardware…

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

Gaussian mixture models are a popular tool for model-based clustering, and mixtures of factor analyzers are Gaussian mixture models having parsimonious factor covariance structure for mixture components. There are several recent extensions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

The parametric bootstrap can be used for the efficient computation of Bayes posterior distributions. Importance sampling formulas take on an easy form relating to the deviance in exponential families and are particularly simple starting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-15 Bradley Efron

Bayesian Neural Networks provide a principled framework for uncertainty quantification by modeling the posterior distribution of network parameters. However, exact posterior inference is computationally intractable, and widely used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Alfredo Reichlin , Miguel Vasco , Danica Kragic

We introduce a new interpretation of sparse variational approximations for Gaussian processes using inducing points, which can lead to more scalable algorithms than previous methods. It is based on decomposing a Gaussian process as a sum of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-27 Jiaxin Shi , Michalis K. Titsias , Andriy Mnih

We develop a Bayesian Poisson matrix factorization model for forming recommendations from sparse user behavior data. These data are large user/item matrices where each user has provided feedback on only a small subset of items, either…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2014-05-21 Prem Gopalan , Jake M. Hofman , David M. Blei

In high-dimensions, the prior tails can have a significant effect on both posterior computation and asymptotic concentration rates. To achieve optimal rates while keeping the posterior computations relatively simple, an empirical Bayes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Yue Yang , Ryan Martin

Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin

Logistic regression involving high-dimensional covariates is a practically important problem. Often the goal is variable selection, i.e., determining which few of the many covariates are associated with the binary response. Unfortunately,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

Variational inference methods have been shown to lead to significant improvements in the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian inference in mixed multinomial logit models when compared to standard Markov-chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Filipe Rodrigues

The main computational challenge in Bayesian inference is to compute integrals against a high-dimensional posterior distribution. In the past decades, variational inference (VI) has emerged as a tractable approximation to these integrals,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-09 Anya Katsevich , Philippe Rigollet

Sparse variational approximations allow for principled and scalable inference in Gaussian Process (GP) models. In settings where several GPs are part of the generative model, theses GPs are a posteriori coupled. For many applications such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-30 Vincent Adam

Sparse variational approximations are popular methods for scaling up inference and learning in Gaussian processes to larger datasets. For $N$ training points, exact inference has $O(N^3)$ cost; with $M \ll N$ features, state of the art…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Talay M Cheema , Carl Edward Rasmussen
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