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We consider the Bayesian nonparametric estimation of a nonlinear reaction function in a reaction-diffusion stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The likelihood is well-defined and tractable by the infinite-dimensional Girsanov…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-10 Randolf Altmeyer , Sascha Gaudlitz

We investigate Bayesian nonparametric density estimation via orthogonal polynomial expansions in weighted Sobolev spaces. A core challenge is establishing minimax optimal posterior convergence rates, especially for densities on unbounded…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-20 Yiqi Luo , Xue Luo

Optional P\'{o}lya Tree (OPT) is a flexible non-parametric Bayesian model for density estimation. Despite its merits, the computation for OPT inference is challenging. In this paper we present time complexity analysis for OPT inference and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-09-24 Hui Jiang , John C. Mu , Kun Yang , Chao Du , Luo Lu , Wing Hung Wong

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution $P$ of $n$ independent random variables within the Bayes paradigm from a non-asymptotic point of view. Assuming that $P$ admits some density $s$ with respect to a given reference…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-30 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

A novel block prior is proposed for adaptive Bayesian estimation. The prior does not depend on the smoothness of the function or the sample size. It puts sufficient prior mass near the true signal and automatically concentrates on its…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-22 Chao Gao , Harrison H. Zhou

We develop a semiparametric framework for inference on the mean response in missing-data settings using a corrected posterior distribution. Our approach is tailored to Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), which is a powerful…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn

The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

We study the Bayesian density estimation of data living in the offset of an unknown submanifold of the Euclidean space. In this perspective, we introduce a new notion of anisotropic H\"older for the underlying density and obtain posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-18 Clément Berenfeld , Paul Rosa , Judith Rousseau

We consider Bayesian nonparametric inference in the right-censoring survival model, where modeling is made at the level of the hazard rate. We derive posterior limiting distributions for linear functionals of the hazard, and then for `many'…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-01 Ismaël Castillo , Stéphanie van der Pas

This paper deals with the problem of estimating predictive densities of a matrix-variate normal distribution with known covariance matrix. Our main aim is to establish some Bayesian predictive densities related to matricial shrinkage…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-04-03 Hisayuki Tsukuma , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In this paper we critically examine predictions of the Lya forest within the standard cold dark matter (SCDM) model, paying particular attention to the low end of the column-density distribution. We show in particular that the width of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-10-30 Greg L. Bryan , Marie Machacek , Peter Anninos , Michael L. Norman

We describe, analyze, and evaluate experimentally a new probabilistic model for word-sequence prediction in natural language based on prediction suffix trees (PSTs). By using efficient data structures, we extend the notion of PST to…

cmp-lg · 计算机科学 2008-02-03 Fernando C. N. Pereira , Yoram Singer , Naftali Tishby

Non-linear latent variable models have become increasingly popular in a variety of applications. However, there has been little study on theoretical properties of these models. In this article, we study rates of posterior contraction in…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian inference method for a high-dimensional sparse factor model that allows both the factor dimensionality and the sparse structure of the loading matrix to be inferred. The novelty is to introduce a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-31 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin , Yongdai Kim

We study Bayesian group-regularized estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear models (GLMs) under a continuous spike-and-slab prior. Our framework covers both canonical and non-canonical link functions and subsumes logistic,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Ray Bai

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

The emergence of Big Data raises the question of how to model economic relations when there is a large number of possible explanatory variables. We revisit the issue by comparing the possibility of using dense or sparse models in a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-01 Bruno Fava , Hedibert F. Lopes

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh