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We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) methods are widely used for parameter estimation in complex models where evaluating the likelihood is challenging but generating simulations is relatively straightforward. However, these methods…

A general approach to selective inference is considered for hypothesis testing of the null hypothesis represented as an arbitrary shaped region in the parameter space of multivariate normal model. This approach is useful for hierarchical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Yoshikazu Terada , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

Bootstrapping and other resampling methods are increasingly appearing in the textbooks and curricula of courses that introduce undergraduate students to statistical methods. In order to teach the bootstrap well, students and instructors…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Njesa Totty , James Molyneux , Claudio Fuentes

Data imputation, the process of filling in missing feature elements for incomplete data sets, plays a crucial role in data-driven learning. A fundamental belief is that data imputation is helpful for learning performance, and it follows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Ruikai Yang , Fan He , Mingzhen He , Kaijie Wang , Xiaolin Huang

This paper proposes a new non-parametric bootstrap method to quantify the uncertainty of average treatment effect estimate for the treated from matching estimators. More specifically, it seeks to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-21 Jing Li

Generative modeling builds on and substantially advances the classical idea of simulating synthetic data from observed samples. This paper shows that this principle is not only natural but also theoretically well-founded for bootstrap…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Leon Tran , Ting Ye , Peng Ding , Fang Han

We propose a method to overcome the usual limitation of current data processing techniques in optical and infrared long-baseline interferometry: most reduction pipelines assume uncorrelated statistical errors and ignore systematics. We use…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2019-01-23 Régis Lachaume , Markus Rabus , Andrés Jordán , Rafael Brahm , Tabetha Boyajian , Kaspar von Braun , Jean-Philippe Berger

Missing data is a systemic problem in practical scenarios that causes noise and bias when estimating treatment effects. This makes treatment effect estimation from data with missingness a particularly tricky endeavour. A key reason for this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Jeroen Berrevoets , Fergus Imrie , Trent Kyono , James Jordon , Mihaela van der Schaar

Recommender systems often suffer from selection bias as users tend to rate their preferred items. The datasets collected under such conditions exhibit entries missing not at random and thus are not randomized-controlled trials representing…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Wonbin Kweon , Hwanjo Yu

By filling in missing values in datasets, imputation allows these datasets to be used with algorithms that cannot handle missing values by themselves. However, missing values may in principle contribute useful information that is lost…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Oliver Urs Lenz , Daniel Peralta , Chris Cornelis

Multiple imputation (MI) inference handles missing data by imputing the missing values $m$ times, and then combining the results from the $m$ complete-data analyses. However, the existing method for combining likelihood ratio tests (LRTs)…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan , Xiao-Li Meng

The era of big data has witnessed an increasing availability of multiple data sources for statistical analyses. We consider estimation of causal effects combining big main data with unmeasured confounders and smaller validation data with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-24 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Missing observations are pervasive throughout empirical research, especially in the social sciences. Despite multiple approaches to dealing adequately with missing data, many scholars still fail to address this vital issue. In this paper,…

Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) is a popular method for addressing selection bias in subgroup estimation, with broad applications across fields from social sciences to public health. In this paper, we examine the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Yajuan Si

When fitting a generalized linear model -- such as a linear regression, a logistic regression, or a hierarchical linear model -- analysts often wonder how to handle missing values of the dependent variable Y. If missing values have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-27 Paul T. von Hippel

The bootstrap, introduced by Efron (1982), has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the properties of estimators by using the empirical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Guido Imbens , Konrad Menzel

Propensity score matching (PSM) has been widely used to mitigate confounding in observational studies, although complications arise when the covariates used to estimate the PS are only partially observed. Multiple imputation (MI) is a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-22 Albee Y. Ling , Maria E. Montez-Rath , Maya B. Mathur , Kris Kapphahn , Manisha Desai

Modern datasets commonly feature both substantial missingness and many variables of mixed data types, which present significant challenges for estimation and inference. Complete case analysis, which proceeds using only the observations with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-10 Joseph Feldman , Daniel R. Kowal