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Using fish-covering model, this paper intuitively explains how to extend Hartley's information formula to the generalized information formula step by step for measuring subjective information: metrical information (such as conveyed by…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 Chenguang Lu

The use of maximum entropy inference in reasoning with uncertain information is commonly justified by an information-theoretic argument. This paper discusses a possible objection to this information-theoretic justification and shows how it…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-15 Daniel Hunter

Reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty is crucial for machine learning applications, particularly in high-stakes scenarios where hedging against risks is essential. Despite its significance, there is no universal agreement on how to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter

People employ their knowledge to recognize things. This paper is concerned with how to measure people's knowledge for recognition and how it changes. The discussion is based on three assumptions. Firstly, we construct two evolution process…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-16 Fujun Hou

We characterize a notion of confidence that arises in learning or updating beliefs: the amount of trust one has in incoming information and its impact on the belief state. This learner's confidence can be used alongside (and is easily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-18 Oliver Ethan Richardson

Current methods for pattern analysis in time series mainly rely on statistical features or probabilistic learning and inference methods to identify patterns and trends in the data. Such methods do not generalize well when applied to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-05-01 Yushan Huang , Yuchen Zhao , Alexander Capstick , Francesca Palermo , Hamed Haddadi , Payam Barnaghi

We explore the modification of the entropic formulation of uncertainty principle in quantum mechanics which measures the incompatibility of measurements in terms of Shannon entropy. The deformation in question is the type so called…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2017-08-28 Li-Yi Hsu , Shoichi Kawamoto , Wen-Yu Wen

In this note, I explore the implications of informational robustness under the assumption of common belief in rationality. That is, predictions for incomplete-information games which are valid across all possible information structures.…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-08 Gabriel Ziegler

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

We address the problem of quantifying the information content of a source for an arbitrary information theory, where the information content is defined in terms of the asymptotic achievable compression rate. The functions that solve this…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-06-26 Paolo Perinotti , Alessandro Tosini , Leonardo Vaglini

Even today, the concept of entropy is perceived by many as quite obscure. The main difficulty is analyzed as being fundamentally due to the subjectivity and anthropocentrism of the concept that prevent us to have a sufficient distance to…

综合物理 · 物理学 2022-10-21 Didier Lairez

Randomized experiments have long been the gold standard for scientists seeking to learn about cause and effect. When randomized experiments are infeasible, scientists often resort to observational studies, which are widely available and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 Bohan Wu , Sebastian Salazar , Donald P. Green , David M. Blei

We show how Fisher's information already known particular character as the fundamental information geometric object which plays the role of a metric tensor for a statistical differential manifold, can be derived in a relatively easy manner…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Marco Masi

We explore the connection between deep learning and information theory through the paradigm of diffusion models. A diffusion model converts noise into structured data by reinstating, imperfectly, information that is erased when data was…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Akhil Premkumar

We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

In quantum mechanics, outcomes of measurements on a state have a probabilistic interpretation while the evolution of the state is treated deterministically. Here we show that one can also treat the evolution as being probabilistic in nature…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 J. Oppenheim , B. Reznik

We propose a compression-based version of the empirical entropy of a finite string over a finite alphabet. Whereas previously one considers the naked entropy of (possibly higher order) Markov processes, we consider the sum of the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2011-04-05 Paul M. B. Vitányi

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

Science is a constructed narrative of the natural world based on information gathering and its subsequent analysis. In this essay, we develop a novel approach to the epistemic foundations of the scientific narrative, as based on our…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2018-04-03 Marcelo Gleiser , Damian Sowinski

Information Theory provides a fundamental basis for analysis, and for a variety of subsequent methodological approaches, in relation to uncertainty quantification. The transversal character of concepts and derived results justifies its…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-27 Jose M. Angulo , Francisco J. Esquivel , Ana E. Madrid , Francisco J. Alonso