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The multivariate Bayesian structural time series (MBSTS) model is a general machine learning model that deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one also has the choice of using a different candidate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-07 Ning Ning , Jinwen Qiu

In this article, we introduce the BNPqte R package which implements the Bayesian nonparametric approach of Xu, Daniels and Winterstein (2018) for estimating quantile treatment effects in observational studies. This approach provides…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-29 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

Motivation: Model selection is a ubiquitous challenge in statistics. For penalized models, model selection typically entails tuning hyperparameters to maximize a measure of fit or minimize out-of-sample prediction error. However, these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Priyam Das , Sarah Robinson , Christine B. Peterson

Bayesian Networks (BN) provide robust probabilistic methods of reasoning under uncertainty, but despite their formal grounds are strictly based on the notion of conditional dependence, not much attention has been paid so far to their use in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Luigi Portinale , Andrea Bobbio

This paper describes and discusses Bayesian Neural Network (BNN). The paper showcases a few different applications of them for classification and regression problems. BNNs are comprised of a Probabilistic Model and a Neural Network. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-31 Vikram Mullachery , Aniruddh Khera , Amir Husain

The R package walker extends standard Bayesian general linear models to the case where the effects of the explanatory variables can vary in time. This allows, for example, to model the effects of interventions such as changes in tax policy…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske

Preferential attachment is often suggested to be the underlying mechanism of the growth of a network, largely due to that many real networks are, to a certain extent, scale-free. However, such attribution is usually made under debatable…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Clement Lee

Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-16 Jovana Mitrovic , Dino Sejdinovic , Yee Whye Teh

The greed package implements the general and flexible framework of arXiv:2002.11577 for model-based clustering in the R language. Based on the direct maximization of the exact Integrated Classification Likelihood with respect to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-02 Etienne Côme , Nicolas Jouvin

An ensemble inference mechanism is proposed on the Angry Birds domain. It is based on an efficient tree structure for encoding and representing game screenshots, where it exploits its enhanced modeling capability. This has the advantage to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-26 Nikolaos Tziortziotis , Georgios Papagiannis , Konstantinos Blekas

We introduce a new R package, BeSS, for solving the best subset selection problem in linear, logistic and Cox's proportional hazard (CoxPH) models. It utilizes a highly efficient active set algorithm based on primal and dual variables, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Canhong Wen , Aijun Zhang , Shijie Quan , Xueqin Wang

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is a popular method for estimating the parameter posterior distribution for complex statistical models and stochastic processes that possess a computationally intractable likelihood function. Instead of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-26 Ziwen An , Leah F South , Christopher Drovandi

There has been increased interest in the use of historical data to formulate informative priors in regression models. While many such priors for incorporating historical data have been proposed, adoption is limited due to access to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Ethan M. Alt , Xinxin Chen , Luiz M. Carvalho , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are powerful machine learning methods used in many modern applications such as facial recognition, machine translation, and cancer diagnostics. A common issue with ANNs is that they usually have millions or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-08 Lars Skaaret-Lund , Geir Storvik , Aliaksandr Hubin

We present an R package bssm for Bayesian non-linear/non-Gaussian state space modelling. Unlike the existing packages, bssm allows for easy-to-use approximate inference based on Gaussian approximations such as the Laplace approximation and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

Tree-based regression and classification has become a standard tool in modern data science. Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) has in particular gained wide popularity due its flexibility in dealing with interactions and non-linear…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Alan Inglis , Andrew Parnell , Catherine Hurley

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are powerful tools for various computer vision tasks, yet they often struggle with reliable uncertainty quantification - a critical requirement for real-world applications. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-27 Gianni Franchi , Olivier Laurent , Maxence Leguéry , Andrei Bursuc , Andrea Pilzer , Angela Yao

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a family of computational techniques in Bayesian statistics. These techniques allow to fi t a model to data without relying on the computation of the model likelihood. They instead require to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Maxime Lenormand , Franck Jabot , Guillaume Deffuant