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Variational inference (VI) is a popular method for approximating intractable posterior distributions in Bayesian inference and probabilistic machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-18 Chenyang Zhong , Sumit Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Curvature in form of the Hessian or its generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) approximation is valuable for algorithms that rely on a local model for the loss to train, compress, or explain deep networks. Existing methods based on implicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-11 Felix Dangel , Lukas Tatzel , Philipp Hennig

State estimation in robotic systems presents significant challenges, particularly due to the prevalence of multimodal posterior distributions in real-world scenarios. One effective strategy for handling such complexity is to compute maximum…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Min-Won Seo , Solmaz S. Kia

In this paper, we propose CI-VI an efficient and scalable solver for semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI). Our method, first, maps SIVI's evidence lower bound (ELBO) to a form involving a nonlinear functional nesting of expected…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Vincent Moens , Hang Ren , Alexandre Maraval , Rasul Tutunov , Jun Wang , Haitham Ammar

We investigate the convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for statistical inverse problems involving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). Departing from exact Bayesian inference, variational inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-10 Shaokang Zu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

In multivariate statistics, the question of finding direct interactions can be formulated as a problem of network inference - or network reconstruction - for which the Gaussian graphical model (GGM) provides a canonical framework.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Enforcing sparse structure within learning has led to significant advances in the field of data-driven discovery of dynamical systems. However, such methods require access not only to time-series of the state of the dynamical system, but…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-21 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

Gaussian processes (GPs) based methods for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) demonstrate great promise by bridging the gap between the theoretical rigor of traditional numerical algorithms and the flexible design of machine…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-02-02 Xianjin Yang , Houman Owhadi

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are widely used to recover the conditional independence structure among random variables. Recent work has sought to incorporate auxiliary covariates to improve estimation, particularly in applications such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Ruobin Liu , Guo Yu

In stochastic variational inference, the variational Bayes objective function is optimized using stochastic gradient approximation, where gradients computed on small random subsets of data are used to approximate the true gradient over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-19 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

Modeling sequential data has become more and more important in practice. Some applications are autonomous driving, virtual sensors and weather forecasting. To model such systems so called recurrent models are used. In this article we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Roman Föll , Bernard Haasdonk , Markus Hanselmann , Holger Ulmer

We consider covariance estimation in the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) and elliptically symmetric (ES) distribution. The maximum likelihood optimization associated with this problem is non-convex, yet it has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-15 Teng Zhang , Ami Wiesel , Maria Sabrina Grec

Variational inference is computationally challenging in models that contain both conjugate and non-conjugate terms. Methods specifically designed for conjugate models, even though computationally efficient, find it difficult to deal with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-14 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Wu Lin

The next generation of Department of Energy supercomputers will be capable of exascale computation. For these machines, far more computation will be possible than that which can be saved to disk. As a result, users will be unable to rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-23 Michael Grosskopf , Kellin Rumsey , Ayan Biswas , Earl Lawrence

We consider the problem of learning a sparse graph underlying an undirected Gaussian graphical model, a key problem in statistical machine learning. Given $n$ samples from a multivariate Gaussian distribution with $p$ variables, the goal is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Kayhan Behdin , Wenyu Chen , Rahul Mazumder

Estimation of a precision matrix (i.e., inverse covariance matrix) is widely used to exploit conditional independence among continuous variables. The influence of abnormal observations is exacerbated in a high dimensional setting as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-17 Peng Tang , Huijing Jiang , Heeyoung Kim , Xinwei Deng

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci