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相关论文: Bayesian Multivariate Nonlinear State Space Copula…

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We introduce a novel bivariate copula model able to capture both the central and tail dependence of the joint probability distribution. Model that can capture the dependence structure within the joint tail have important implications in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-01 Maria Concepción Ausín , Maria Kalli

Regular vine copulas can describe a wider array of dependency patterns than the multivariate Gaussian copula or the multivariate Student's t copula. This paper presents two contributions related to model selection of regular vine copulas.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-04 Lutz Gruber , Claudia Czado

We introduce a Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model that explicitly captures spatial correlations in data using a parameterized spatial kernel and leveraging structure-exploiting algebra on the model covariance matrices for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

For many applications with multivariate data, random field models capturing departures from Gaussianity within realisations are appropriate. For this reason, we formulate a new class of multivariate non-Gaussian models based on systems of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Analysis of multivariate time series is a common problem in areas like finance and economics. The classical tool for this purpose are vector autoregressive models. These however are limited to the modeling of linear and symmetric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-04-05 Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

We introduce an extension of R-vine copula models for the purpose of spatial dependency modeling and model based prediction at unobserved locations. The newly derived spatial R-vine model combines the flexibility of vine copulas with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-17 Tobias Michael Erhardt , Claudia Czado , Ulf Schepsmeier

Dependent generalized extreme value (dGEV) models have attracted much attention due to the dependency structure that often appears in real datasets. To construct a dGEV model, a natural approach is to assume that some parameters in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-06 Bo Ning , Peter Bloomfield

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

Motivated by modern data forms such as images and multi-view data, the multi-attribute graphical model aims to explore the conditional independence structure among vectors. Under the Gaussian assumption, the conditional independence between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Qi Zhang , Bing Li , Lingzhou Xue

We introduce a flexible and scalable class of Bayesian geostatistical models for discrete data, based on the class of nearest neighbor mixture transition distribution processes (NNMP), referred to as discrete NNMP. The proposed class…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-04 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

We introduce a methodology for nonlinear inverse problems using a variational Bayesian approach where the unknown quantity is a spatial field. A structured Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model is used both to construct a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-20 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

The Gaussian copula is a powerful tool that has been widely used to model spatial and/or temporal correlated data with arbitrary marginal distributions. However, this kind of model can potentially be too restrictive since it expresses a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-30 Moreno Bevilacqua , Eloy Alvarado , Christian Caamaño-Carrillo

In this work we present full Bayesian inference for a new flexible nonseparable class of cross-covariance functions for multivariate spatial data. A Bayesian test is proposed for separability of covariance functions which is much more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Rafael S. Erbisti , Thais C. O. Fonseca , Mariane B. Alves

Regular vine distributions which constitute a flexible class of multivariate dependence models are discussed. Since multivariate copulae constructed through pair-copula decompositions were introduced to the statistical community, interest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-11-26 Jeffrey Dissmann , Eike Christian Brechmann , Claudia Czado , Dorota Kurowicka