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Gaussian Processes (GPs) are Bayesian models that provide uncertainty estimates associated to the predictions made. They are also very flexible due to their non-parametric nature. Nevertheless, GPs suffer from poor scalability as the number…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Bahram Jafrasteh , Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We cast motion planning under uncertainty as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the optimal posterior distribution has an explicit form. To approximate this posterior, this work frames an optimization problem in the space of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Zinuo Chang , Hongzhe Yu , Patricio Vela , Yongxin Chen

We address the problem of continual learning in multi-task Gaussian process (GP) models for handling sequential input-output observations. Our approach extends the existing prior-posterior recursion of online Bayesian inference, i.e.\ past…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Modern deep learning models have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for many data modalities. However, their application to many real-world tasks is restricted by poor uncertainty estimates, such as overconfidence on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Ben Adlam , Jaehoon Lee , Lechao Xiao , Jeffrey Pennington , Jasper Snoek

Multivariate time series with missing values are common in areas such as healthcare and finance, and have grown in number and complexity over the years. This raises the question whether deep learning methodologies can outperform classical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-21 Vincent Fortuin , Dmitry Baranchuk , Gunnar Rätsch , Stephan Mandt

Recent work introduced deep kernel processes as an entirely kernel-based alternative to NNs (Aitchison et al. 2020). Deep kernel processes flexibly learn good top-layer representations by alternately sampling the kernel from a distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-06 Sebastian W. Ober , Laurence Aitchison

Additive-interactive regression has recently been shown to offer attractive minimax error rates over traditional nonparametric multivariate regression in a wide variety of settings, including cases where the predictor count is much larger…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-26 Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar

Symbolic regression discovers explicit, interpretable equations without assuming a functional form in advance. A Bayesian approach strengthens this through probability distributions over candidate expressions, thus quantifying uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 James Butterworth , Gevik Grigorian , Alejandro DiazDelaO

Gaussian process latent variable models (GPLVM) are a flexible and non-linear approach to dimensionality reduction, extending classical Gaussian processes to an unsupervised learning context. The Bayesian incarnation of the GPLVM Titsias…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-31 Vidhi Lalchand , Aditya Ravuri , Neil D. Lawrence

We introduce Deep Jump Gaussian Processes (DJGP), a novel method for surrogate modeling of a piecewise continuous function on a high-dimensional domain. DJGP addresses the limitations of conventional Jump Gaussian Processes (JGP) in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Yang Xu , Chiwoo Park

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

The sparse pseudo-input Gaussian process (SPGP) is a new approximation method for speeding up GP regression in the case of a large number of data points N. The approximation is controlled by the gradient optimization of a small set of M…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Edward Snelson , Zoubin Ghahramani

Gaussian processes (GPs) can provide a principled approach to uncertainty quantification with easy-to-interpret kernel hyperparameters, such as the lengthscale, which controls the correlation distance of function values. However, selecting…

Gaussian processes (GPs) with derivatives are useful in many applications, including Bayesian optimization, implicit surface reconstruction, and terrain reconstruction. Fitting a GP to function values and derivatives at $n$ points in $d$…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-30 David Eriksson , Kun Dong , Eric Hans Lee , David Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

The successes of modern deep machine learning methods are founded on their ability to transform inputs across multiple layers to build good high-level representations. It is therefore critical to understand this process of representation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-26 Adam X. Yang , Maxime Robeyns , Edward Milsom , Ben Anson , Nandi Schoots , Laurence Aitchison

The recently developed Particle-based Variational Inference (ParVI) methods drive the empirical distribution of a set of \emph{fixed-weight} particles towards a given target distribution $\pi$ by iteratively updating particles' positions.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Chao Zhang , Zhijian Li , Hui Qian , Xin Du

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful tools for nonlinear classification in which latent GPs are combined with link functions. But GPs do not scale well to large training data. This is compounded for classification where the latent GPs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-01-28 Andrew Cooper , Annie S. Booth , Robert B. Gramacy

Approximate inference in Gaussian process (GP) models with non-conjugate likelihoods gets entangled with the learning of the model hyperparameters. We improve hyperparameter learning in GP models and focus on the interplay between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-08 Rui Li , ST John , Arno Solin