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Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

This article presents a novel hybrid approach using statistics and machine learning to forecast the national demand of electricity. As investment and operation of future energy systems require long-term electricity demand forecasts with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Tatiana Gonzalez Grandon , Johannes Schwenzer , Thomas Steens , Julia Breuing

Accurate intraday forecasts of the power output by PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems are critical to improve the operation of energy distribution grids. We describe a neural autoregressive model that aims to perform such intraday forecasts. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Pierrick Bruneau , David Fiorelli , Christian Braun , Daniel Koster

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

The rapid proliferation of solar energy has significantly expedited the integration of photovoltaic (PV) systems into contemporary power grids. Considering that the cloud dynamics frequently induce rapid fluctuations in solar irradiance,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-21 Huapeng Lin , Miao Yu

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new…

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

Solar energy is a clean and renewable energy. Photovoltaic (PV) power is an important way to utilize solar energy. Accurate PV power forecast is crucial to the large-scale application of PV power and the stability of electricity grid. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Mingliang Bai , Xinyu Zhao , Zhenhua Long , Jinfu Liu , Daren Yu

Distribution feeder long-term load forecast (LTLF) is a critical task many electric utility companies perform on an annual basis. The goal of this task is to forecast the annual load of distribution feeders. The previous top-down and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , L. S. Grumbach

Accurate forecasting of solar power output is essential for efficient integration of renewable energy into the grid. In this study, an attention-based deep learning model, inspired by transformer architecture, is used for short-term solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Ankan Basu , Jyotiraditya Roy , Aditya Datta , Prayas Sanyal , Sumanta Banerjee

Mid-term and long-term electric energy demand prediction is essential for the planning and operations of the smart grid system. Mainly in countries where the power system operates in a deregulated environment. Traditional forecasting models…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-29 Yuting Ding , Di Wu , Yi He , Xin Luo , Song Deng

Accurate electricity forecasting is crucial for grid stability and energy planning, especially in Benghazi, Libya, where frequent load shedding, generation deficits, and infrastructure limitations persist. This study proposes a data-driven…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-05 Asma Agaal , Mansour Essgaer , Hend M. Farkash , Zulaiha Ali Othman

This work addresses the challenge of short-term precipitation forecasting by applying Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) neural networks to weather radar data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Petros Demetrakopoulos

Non-stationary power system dynamics, influenced by renewable energy variability, evolving demand patterns, and climate change, are becoming increasingly complex. Accurately capturing these dynamics requires a model capable of adapting to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Yang Weng , Marija Ilic , Guangchun Ruan

The advancement of distributed generation technologies in modern power systems has led to a widespread integration of renewable power generation at customer side. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy poses new challenges to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , Adnan Anwar

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

The strong growth of renewable energy sources and the high volatility in power generation of these sources, as well as the increasing amount of volatile energy consumption is leading to major challenges in the electrical grid. In order to…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-28 Katharina Brauns , Christoph Scholz , Andre Baier , Dominik Jost

Accurate power load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation and planning of electrical grids, particularly given the increased variability and complexity introduced by renewable energy sources. This paper introduces GAT-LSTM, a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Ugochukwu Orji , Çiçek Güven , Dan Stowell