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Solar power becomes one of the most promising renewable energy sources over the years leading up. Nevertheless, the weather is causing periodicity and volatility to photovoltaic (PV) energy production. Thus, Forecasting the PV power is…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-23 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati

Solar-powered base stations are a promising approach to sustainable telecommunications infrastructure. However, the successful deployment of solar-powered base stations requires precise prediction of the energy harvested by photovoltaic…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-29 Yawen Guo , Sonia Naderi , Colleen Josephson

The Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) model, which predicts the current value of a time series based upon its previous values as well as the current and past values of multiple driving (exogenous) series, has been studied for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-15 Yao Qin , Dongjin Song , Haifeng Chen , Wei Cheng , Guofei Jiang , Garrison Cottrell

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

The recurrent neural network and its variants have shown great success in processing sequences in recent years. However, this deep neural network has not aroused much attention in anomaly detection through predictively process monitoring.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Qiu , Yu Lin , Inez Zwetsloot

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting plays a critical role in power system dispatch and market participation. Because PV generation is highly sensitive to weather conditions and cloud motion, accurate forecasting requires effective modeling…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Hang Fan , Haoran Pei , Runze Liang , Weican Liu , Long Cheng , Wei Wei

The uncertainty associated with solar photo-voltaic (PV) power output is a big challenge to design, manage and implement effective demand response and management strategies. Therefore, an accurate PV power output forecast is an utmost…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-11-26 Muhammad Qamar Raza , N. Mithulananthan , Jiaming Li , Kwang Y. Lee , Hoay Beng Gooi

The increasing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation introduces significant uncertainty into power system operation, necessitating forecasting approaches that extend beyond deterministic point predictions. This paper proposes an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Slawek Smyl , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

An elementary Recurrent Neural Network that operates on p time lags, called an RNN(p), is the natural generalisation of a linear autoregressive model ARX(p). It is a powerful forecasting tool for variables displaying inherent seasonal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Roberto Baviera , Pietro Manzoni

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

As the volatility of electricity demand increases owing to climate change and electrification, the importance of accurate peak load forecasting is increasing. Traditional peak load forecasting has been conducted through time series-based…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-22 Juyong Lee , Youngsang Cho

With the proliferation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in the distribution grid, it is a challenge to effectively control a large number of DERs resilient to the communication and security disruptions, as well as to provide the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-02 Mohammad Panahazari , Matthew Koscak , Jianhua Zhang , Daqing Hou , Jing Wang , David Wenzhong Gao

Renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, are increasingly being integrated into smart grid systems. However, when compared to traditional energy resources, the unpredictability of renewable energy generation poses significant…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-01 Arman Ghasemi , Amin Shojaeighadikolaei , Morteza Hashemi

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

The Extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) network has demonstrated strong capability in modeling complex long-term dependencies in time series data. Despite its success, the deterministic architecture of xLSTM limits its representational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Zihao Wang , Yunjie Li , Lingmin Zan , Zheng Gong , Mengtao Zhu

We propose a novel surrogate modelling approach to efficiently and accurately approximate the response of complex dynamical systems driven by time-varying exogenous excitations over extended time periods. Our approach, namely manifold…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-13 Styfen Schär , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret