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The conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a useful risk measure in fields such as machine learning, finance, insurance, energy, etc. When measuring very extreme risk, the commonly used CVaR estimation method of sample averaging does not work…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

Predictive models trained on observational data often fail to generalise to the distributions they encounter when deployed, especially when the training data is a product of the system being optimised. Recommender systems are a canonical…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yorgos Felekis , Michael O'Riordan , Oriol Corcoll , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee

In online internet advertising, machine learning models are widely used to compute the likelihood of a user engaging with product related advertisements. However, the performance of traditional machine learning models is often impacted due…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-06-22 Marcelo Tallis , Pranjul Yadav

The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-25 Abdollah Safari , Rachel MacKay Altman , Thomas M. Loughin

Due to the mechanism of recording, the presence of multiple transactions at each recording time becomes a common feature for high-frequency data in financial market. Using random matrix theory, this paper considers the estimation of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-06 Moming Wang , Ningning Xia , You Zhou

CVaR (Conditional Value at Risk) is a risk metric widely used in finance. However, dynamically optimizing CVaR is difficult since it is not a standard Markov decision process (MDP) and the principle of dynamic programming fails. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-10-18 Li Xia , Peter W. Glynn

This paper proposes a tractable distributionally robust chance-constrained conservation voltage reduction (DRCC-CVR) method with enriched data-based ambiguity set in unbalanced three-phase distribution systems. The increasing penetration of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-07-08 Qianzhi Zhang , Fankun Bu , Yi Guo , Zhaoyu Wang

Unbiased Learning to Rank (ULTR) that learns to rank documents with biased user feedback data is a well-known challenge in information retrieval. Existing methods in unbiased learning to rank typically rely on click modeling or inverse…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-02-09 Dan Luo , Lixin Zou , Qingyao Ai , Zhiyu Chen , Dawei Yin , Brian D. Davison

User behavior records serve as the foundation for recommender systems. While the behavior data exhibits ease of acquisition, it often suffers from varying quality. Current methods employ data valuation to discern high-quality data from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Renqi Jia , Xiaokun Zhang , Bowei He , Qiannan Zhu , Weitao Xu , Jiehao Chen , Chen Ma

Predicting conversion rate (e.g., the probability that a user will purchase an item) is a fundamental problem in machine learning based recommender systems. However, accurate conversion labels are revealed after a long delay, which harms…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Jia-Qi Yang , De-Chuan Zhan

In this paper we address the problem of decision making within a Markov decision process (MDP) framework where risk and modeling errors are taken into account. Our approach is to minimize a risk-sensitive conditional-value-at-risk (CVaR)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-06-09 Yinlam Chow , Aviv Tamar , Shie Mannor , Marco Pavone

Predicting the expected value or number of post-click conversions (purchases or other events) is a key task in performance-based digital advertising. In training a conversion optimizer model, one of the most crucial aspects is handling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 Ashwinkumar Badanidiyuru , Andrew Evdokimov , Vinodh Krishnan , Pan Li , Wynn Vonnegut , Jayden Wang

Interactive Recommendation (IR) has gained significant attention recently for its capability to quickly capture dynamic interest and optimize both short and long term objectives. IR agents are typically implemented through Deep…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Jingyu Li , Zhiyong Feng , Dongxiao He , Hongqi Chen , Qinghang Gao , Guoli Wu

As the main workhorse for model selection, Cross Validation (CV) has achieved an empirical success due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, despite its ubiquitous role, CV often falls into the following notorious dilemmas. On the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Weikai Li , Chuanxing Geng , Songcan Chen

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) aims to optimize policies that balance the expected reward and risk. In this paper, we present a novel risk-sensitive RL framework that employs an Iterated Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Yu Chen , Yihan Du , Pihe Hu , Siwei Wang , Desheng Wu , Longbo Huang

User post-click conversion prediction is of high interest to researchers and developers. Recent studies employ multi-task learning to tackle the selection bias and data sparsity problem, two severe challenges in post-click behavior…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Menghan Wang , Jinming Yang , Yuchen Guo , Yuming Shen , Mengying Zhu , Yanlin Wang

Most existing recommender systems leverage user behavior data of one type only, such as the purchase behavior in E-commerce that is directly related to the business KPI (Key Performance Indicator) of conversion rate. Besides the key…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-02-11 Chen Gao , Xiangnan He , Dahua Gan , Xiangning Chen , Fuli Feng , Yong Li , Tat-Seng Chua , Lina Yao , Yang Song , Depeng Jin

Learning-to-Rank (LTR) models trained from implicit feedback (e.g. clicks) suffer from inherent biases. A well-known one is the position bias -- documents in top positions are more likely to receive clicks due in part to their position…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Mucun Tian , Chun Guo , Vito Ostuni , Zhen Zhu

In recommender system, some feature directly affects whether an interaction would happen, making the happened interactions not necessarily indicate user preference. For instance, short videos are objectively easier to be finished even…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-08-29 Xiangnan He , Yang Zhang , Fuli Feng , Chonggang Song , Lingling Yi , Guohui Ling , Yongdong Zhang

Online reinforcement learning (RL) with sparse rewards poses a challenge partly because of the lack of feedback on states leading to the goal. Furthermore, expert offline data with reward signal is rarely available to provide this feedback…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Nitish Dashora , Dibya Ghosh , Sergey Levine