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Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Bayesian optimization (BO) has gained attention as an efficient algorithm for black-box optimization of expensive-to-evaluate systems, where the BO algorithm iteratively queries the system and suggests new trials based on a probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Eike Cramer , Luis Kutschat , Oliver Stollenwerk , Joel A. Paulson , Alexander Mitsos

A simple and efficient adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, called the Metropolized Adaptive Subspace (MAdaSub) algorithm, is proposed for sampling from high-dimensional posterior model distributions in Bayesian variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-04 Christian Staerk , Maria Kateri , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a well-established family of algorithms primarily used in Bayesian statistics to sample from a target distribution when direct sampling is challenging. Existing work on Bayesian decision trees uses MCMC.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell

Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-05 Peter D. Tonner , Daniel V. Samarov , A. Gilad Kusne

Hierarchical Bayesian models based on Gaussian processes are considered useful for describing complex nonlinear statistical dependencies among variables in real-world data. However, effective Monte Carlo algorithms for inference with these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Takashi Hayakawa , Satoshi Asai

In Part I (arXiv:1911.00619) of this article, we proposed an importance sampling algorithm to compute rare-event probabilities in forward uncertainty quantification problems. The algorithm, which we termed the "Bayesian Inverse Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-06 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

Bayesian optimisation has proven to be a powerful tool for expensive global black-box optimisation problems. In this paper, we propose new Bayesian optimisation variants of the popular Knowledge Gradient acquisition functions for problems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Xietao Wang Lin , Juan Ungredda , Max Butler , James Town , Alma Rahat , Hemant Singh , Juergen Branke

In this paper, we present the Monte-Carlo Compressive Optimization algorithm, a new method to solve a combinatorial optimization problem that is assumed compressible. The method relies on random queries to the objective function in order to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-30 Baptiste Chevalier , Shimpei Yamaguchi , Wojciech Roga , Masahiro Takeoka

Field experiments and computer simulations are effective but time-consuming methods of measuring the quality of engineered systems at different settings. To reduce the total time required, experimenters may employ Bayesian optimization,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Jiuge Ren , David Sweet

Generative diffusion models have recently emerged as a powerful strategy to perform stochastic sampling in Bayesian inverse problems, delivering remarkably accurate solutions for a wide range of challenging applications. However, diffusion…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-05-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Marcelo Pereyra , Luke Shaw , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Bayesian optimization (BO) methods choose sample points by optimizing an acquisition function derived from a statistical model of the objective. These acquisition functions are chosen to balance sampling regions with predicted good…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-16 Darian Nwankwo , David Bindel

Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are used to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Rohitash Chandra , Joshua Simmons

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient global optimization algorithm for black-box functions which are expensive to evaluate. Existing literature on model based optimization in conditional parameter spaces are usually built on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-08 Xingchen Ma , Matthew B. Blaschko

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular algorithm for solving challenging optimization tasks. It is designed for problems where the objective function is expensive to evaluate, perhaps not available in exact form, without gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-22 Umberto Noè , Dirk Husmeier

We introduce YOASOVI, an algorithm for performing fast, self-correcting stochastic optimization for Variational Inference (VI) on large Bayesian heirarchical models. To accomplish this, we take advantage of available information on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Dominic B. Dayta

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a class of popular methods for expensive black-box optimization, and has been widely applied to many scenarios. However, BO suffers from the curse of dimensionality, and scaling it to high-dimensional problems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-17 Lei Song , Ke Xue , Xiaobin Huang , Chao Qian

Bayesian optimization (BO) is increasingly employed in critical applications such as materials design and drug discovery. An increasingly popular strategy in BO is to forgo the sole reliance on high-fidelity data and instead use an ensemble…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-22 Zahra Zanjani Foumani , Mehdi Shishehbor , Amin Yousefpour , Ramin Bostanabad