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We propose an empirically stable and asymptotically efficient covariate-balancing approach to the problem of estimating survival causal effects in data with conditionally-independent censoring. This addresses a challenge often encountered…

This article extends the widely-used synthetic controls estimator for evaluating causal effects of policy changes to quantile functions. The proposed method provides a geometrically faithful estimate of the entire counterfactual quantile…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-03 Florian Gunsilius

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Continuous outcome measurements truncated by death present a challenge for the estimation of unbiased treatment effects in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). One way to deal with such situations is to estimate the survivor average causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Stefanie von Felten , Chiara Vanetta , Christoph M. Rüegger , Sven Wellmann , Leonhard Held

Additive noise models (ANMs) are an important setting studied in causal inference. Most of the existing works on ANMs assume causal sufficiency, i.e., there are no unobserved confounders. This paper focuses on confounded ANMs, where a set…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Murat Kocaoglu

In observational studies, potential unobserved confounding is a major barrier in isolating the average causal effect (ACE). In these scenarios, two main approaches are often used: confounder adjustment for causality (CAC) and instrumental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Roy S. Zawadzki , Daniel L. Gillen

Randomized clinical trials are the gold standard when estimating the average treatment effect. However, they are usually not a random sample from the real-world population because of the inclusion/exclusion rules. Meanwhile, observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Kuan Jiang , Wenjie Hu , Shu Yang , Xinxing Lai , Xiaohua Zhou

Noncompliance and missing data often occur in randomized trials, which complicate the inference of causal effects. When both noncompliance and missing data are present, previous papers proposed moment and maximum likelihood estimators for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-04 Hua Chen , Peng Ding , Zhi Geng , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Motivated by the proliferation of observational datasets and the need to integrate non-randomized evidence with randomized controlled trials, causal inference researchers have recently proposed several new methodologies for combining biased…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-14 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Francesca Dominici , Luke Miratrix

Composition methodologies in the current literature are mainly to promote estimation efficiency via direct composition, either, of initial estimators or of objective functions. In this paper, composite estimation is investigated for both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Lu Lin , Feng Li , Kangning Wang , Lixing Zhu

Observational studies are the primary source of data for causal inference, but it is challenging when existing unmeasured confounding. Missing data problems are also common in observational studies. How to obtain the causal effects from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Renzhong Zheng

In this paper we have considered the problem of estimating the population mean in systematic sampling using information on an auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Some modified ratio, product and difference type estimators in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-06 Hemant K. Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

Confounding bias and selection bias bring two significant challenges to the validity of conclusions drawn from applied causal inference. The latter can stem from informative missingness, such as in cases of attrition. We introduce the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-25 Johan de Aguas , Johan Pensar , Tomás Varnet Pérez , Guido Biele

An essential goal of program evaluation and scientific research is the investigation of causal mechanisms. Over the past several decades, causal mediation analysis has been used in medical and social sciences to decompose the treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-15 K. C. G. Chan , K. Imai , S. C. P. Yam , Z. Zhang

Regression adjustments are often considered by investigators to improve the estimation efficiency of causal effect in randomized experiments when there exists many pre-experiment covariates. In this paper, we provide conditions that…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-09-25 Hanzhong Liu , Yuehan Yang

Consider the problem of determining the effect of a compound on a specific cell type. To answer this question, researchers traditionally need to run an experiment applying the drug of interest to that cell type. This approach is not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-13 Chandler Squires , Dennis Shen , Anish Agarwal , Devavrat Shah , Caroline Uhler

Doubly robust estimators of causal effects are a popular means of estimating causal effects. Such estimators combine an estimate of the conditional mean of the outcome given treatment and confounders (the so-called outcome regression) with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-17 David Benkeser , Weixin Cai , Mark J van der Laan

We study the problem of learning conditional average treatment effects (CATE) from observational data with unobserved confounders. The CATE function maps baseline covariates to individual causal effect predictions and is key for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-09 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Angela Zhou

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Recent approaches in causal inference have proposed estimating average causal effects that are local to some subpopulation, often for reasons of efficiency. These inferential targets are sometimes data-adaptive, in that they are dependent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-08 Peter M. Aronow