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相关论文: A Bayesian Approach to Multiple-Output Quantile Re…

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Timely characterizations of risks in economic and financial systems play an essential role in both economic policy and private sector decisions. However, the informational content of low-frequency variables and the results from conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-07 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu

Given a multivariate function taking deterministic and uncertain inputs, we consider the problem of estimating a quantile set: a set of deterministic inputs for which the probability that the output belongs to a specific region remains…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Romain Ait Abdelmalek-Lomenech , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Given the cost and duration of phase III and phase IV clinical trials, the development of statistical methods for go/no-go decisions is vital. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian methodology to compute the probability of success based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Ethan M. Alt , Matthew A. Psioda , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Count data frequently arises in biomedical applications, such as the length of hospital stay. However, their discrete nature poses significant challenges for appropriately modeling conditional quantiles, which are crucial for understanding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-28 Yuta Yamauchi , Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

High-dimensional health and surveillance studies often involve many collinear predictors, multiple correlated outcomes of different types, and latent heterogeneity across observational units. We propose a Bayesian latent-cluster…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Suyeon Kang

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

We develop a Bayesian approach to predict a continuous or binary outcome from data that are collected from multiple sources with a multi-way (i.e.. multidimensional tensor) structure. As a motivating example we consider molecular data from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Jonathan Kim , Brian J. Sandri , Raghavendra B. Rao , Eric F. Lock

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Crossing of fitted conditional quantiles is a prevalent problem for quantile regression models. We propose a new Bayesian modelling framework that penalises multiple quantile regression functions toward the desired non-crossing space. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-21 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

Multi-output regression seeks to borrow strength and leverage commonalities across different but related outputs in order to enhance learning and prediction accuracy. A fundamental assumption is that the output/group membership labels for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Seokhyun Chung , Raed Al Kontar , Zhenke Wu

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

In this paper, we consider Bayesian methods for non-parametric quantile regressions with multiple continuous predictors ranging values in the unit interval. In the first method, the quantile function is assumed to be smooth over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-08 Priyam Das , Subhashis Ghosal

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

Background: Mendelian randomization (MR) is a useful approach to causal inference from observational studies when randomised controlled trials are not feasible. However, study heterogeneity of two association studies required in MR is often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Linyi Zou , Hui Guo , Carlo Berzuini

Quantile regression is a powerful data analysis tool that accommodates heterogeneous covariate-response relationships. We find that by coupling the asymmetric Laplace working likelihood with appropriate shrinkage priors, we can deliver…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Yuanzhi Li , Xuming He