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相关论文: The network uncertainty quantification method for …

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We consider a multiphysics system with multiple component models coupled together through network coupling interfaces, i.e., a handful of scalars. If each component model contains uncertainties represented by a set of parameters, a…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Eric T. Phipps , Timothy M. Wildey

Neural networks (NNs) are currently changing the computational paradigm on how to combine data with mathematical laws in physics and engineering in a profound way, tackling challenging inverse and ill-posed problems not solvable with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Apostolos F Psaros , Xuhui Meng , Zongren Zou , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

We propose a new approach for propagating stable probability distributions through neural networks. Our method is based on local linearization, which we show to be an optimal approximation in terms of total variation distance for the ReLU…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Felix Petersen , Aashwin Mishra , Hilde Kuehne , Christian Borgelt , Oliver Deussen , Mikhail Yurochkin

Using the dynamics of information propagation on a network as our illustrative example, we present and discuss a systematic approach to quantifying heterogeneity and its propagation that borrows established tools from Uncertainty…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

Network quantification (NQ) is the problem of estimating the proportions of nodes belonging to each class in subsets of unlabelled graph nodes. When prior probability shift is at play, this task cannot be effectively addressed by first…

How can we quantify uncertainty if our favorite computational tool - be it a numerical, a statistical, or a machine learning approach, or just any computer model - provides single-valued output only? In this article, we introduce the Easy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-25 Eva-Maria Walz , Alexander Henzi , Johanna Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

In this paper we address the problem of uncertainty management for robust design, and verification of large dynamic networks whose performance is affected by an equally large number of uncertain parameters. Many such networks (e.g. power,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-12 Amit Surana , Tuhin Sahai , Andrzej Banaszuk

Researchers have proposed several approaches for neural network (NN) based uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, most of the approaches are developed considering strong assumptions. Uncertainty quantification algorithms often perform…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques are frequently used to ascertain output variability in systems with parametric uncertainty. Traditional algorithms for UQ are either system-agnostic and slow (such as Monte Carlo) or fast with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tuhin Sahai , Jose Miguel Pasini

Applications, ranging from tracking molecular motion within cells to analyzing complex animal foraging behavior, require algorithms for associating a collection of spot-like particles in one image with particles contained in another image.…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2013-04-23 Alexander Mont , Aubrey V. Wiegel , Diego Krapf , Christopher P. Calderon

Uncertainty in estimation of Drake Passage transport is analyzed in a Hessian-based uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework. The approach extends the adjoint-based ocean state estimation method to provide formal error bounds…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-04-19 Alexander G. Kalmikov , Patrick Heimbach

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

Predictive uncertainty estimation remains a challenging problem precluding the use of deep neural networks as subsystems within safety-critical applications. Aleatoric uncertainty is a component of predictive uncertainty that cannot be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Angel Daruna , Yunye Gong , Abhinav Rajvanshi , Han-Pang Chiu , Yi Yao

In this paper, we adopt conformal prediction, a distribution-free uncertainty quantification (UQ) framework, to obtain confidence prediction intervals with coverage guarantees for Deep Operator Network (DeepONet) regression. Initially, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Christian Moya , Amirhossein Mollaali , Zecheng Zhang , Lu Lu , Guang Lin

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

Statistical learning algorithms provide a generally-applicable framework to sidestep time-consuming experiments, or accurate physics-based modeling, but they introduce a further source of error on top of the intrinsic limitations of the…

化学物理 · 物理学 2024-05-17 Matthias Kellner , Michele Ceriotti

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in scientific machine learning is increasingly critical as neural networks are widely adopted to tackle complex problems across diverse scientific disciplines. For physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Frank Shih , Zhenghao Jiang , Faming Liang

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric
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