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We propose a method for finding a cumulative distribution function (cdf) that minimizes the distance to a given cdf, while belonging to an ambiguity set constructed relative to another cdf and, possibly, incorporating soft information. Our…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-23 Julio Deride , Johannes O. Royset , Fernanda Urrea

Gaussian processes (GPs) are crucial in machine learning for quantifying uncertainty in predictions. However, their associated covariance matrices, defined by kernel functions, are typically dense and large-scale, posing significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Theresa Wagner , Tianshi Xu , Franziska Nestler , Yuanzhe Xi , Martin Stoll

We study a Q learning algorithm for continuous time stochastic control problems. The proposed algorithm uses the sampled state process by discretizing the state and control action spaces under piece-wise constant control processes. We show…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-10 Erhan Bayraktar , Ali Devran Kara

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) hold a pivotal role in modeling event sequences across diverse domains, including social networking and e-commerce, and have significantly contributed to the advancement of recommendation systems and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-02 Maolin Wang , Yu Pan , Zenglin Xu , Ruocheng Guo , Xiangyu Zhao , Wanyu Wang , Yiqi Wang , Zitao Liu , Langming Liu

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are nonparametric probabilistic models…

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis is widely used in engineering. Although CFD calculations are accurate, the computational cost associated with complex systems makes it difficult to obtain empirical equations between system…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-04-08 Mehrad Ansari , Heta A. Gandhi , David G. Foster , Andrew D. White

This study presents a comprehensive framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) and design optimization of plasma etching in semiconductor manufacturing. The framework is demonstrated using experimental measurements of etched depth…

科普物理 · 物理学 2025-11-10 Yongsu Jung , Minji Kang , Muyoung Kim , Min Sup Choi , Hyeong-U Kim , Jaekwang Kim

Simulation-based inference methods that feature correct conditional coverage of confidence sets based on observations that have been compressed to a scalar test statistic require accurate modeling of either the p-value function or the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Ali Al Kadhim , Harrison B. Prosper

We present a framework for transfer learning based on modular variational Gaussian processes (GP). We develop a module-based method that having a dictionary of well fitted GPs, one could build ensemble GP models without revisiting any data.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-27 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

The bias-variance trade-off is a well-known problem in machine learning that only gets more pronounced the less available data there is. In active learning, where labeled data is scarce or difficult to obtain, neglecting this trade-off can…

Understanding which concepts models can and cannot represent has been fundamental to many tasks: from effective and responsible use of models to detecting out of distribution data. We introduce Gaussian process probes (GPP), a unified and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-07 Zi Wang , Alexander Ku , Jason Baldridge , Thomas L. Griffiths , Been Kim

Digital technologies can be used to gather accurate information about the behavior of structural components for improving systems design, as well as for enabling advanced Structural Health Monitoring strategies. New avenues for achieving…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-29 Silvia Vettori , Emilio Di Lorenzo , Bart Peeters , Eleni Chatzi

Learning of low dimensional structure in multidimensional data is a canonical problem in machine learning. One common approach is to suppose that the observed data are close to a lower-dimensional smooth manifold. There are a rich variety…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-12 Ye Wang , David B. Dunson

Multi-output Gaussian process (MGP) is commonly used as a transfer learning method to leverage information among multiple outputs. A key advantage of MGP is providing uncertainty quantification for prediction, which is highly important for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-06 Wang Xinming , Li Yongxiang , Yue Xiaowei , Wu Jianguo

By enabling constraint-aware online model adaptation, model predictive control using Gaussian process (GP) regression has exhibited impressive performance in real-world applications and received considerable attention in the learning-based…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-17 Amon Lahr , Andrea Zanelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The Markov Decision Process (MDP) is a popular framework for sequential decision-making problems, and uncertainty quantification is an essential component of it to learn optimal decision-making strategies. In particular, a Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Jiaqi Guo , Chon Wai Ho , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

Data-driven Model Predictive Control (MPC), where the system model is learned from data with machine learning, has recently gained increasing interests in the control community. Gaussian Processes (GP), as a type of statistical models, are…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-10-03 Truong X. Nghiem

In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

Dimensionally decomposed generalized polynomial chaos expansion (DD-GPCE) efficiently performs forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in complex engineering systems with high-dimensional random inputs of arbitrary distributions. However,…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-06 Hojun Choi , Eunho Heo , Dongjin Lee