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This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

Quantile regression is an effective technique to quantify uncertainty, fit challenging underlying distributions, and often provide full probabilistic predictions through joint learnings over multiple quantile levels. A common drawback of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Youngsuk Park , Danielle Maddix , François-Xavier Aubet , Kelvin Kan , Jan Gasthaus , Yuyang Wang

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Support vector machines (SVMs) are special kernel based methods and belong to the most successful learning methods since more than a decade. SVMs can informally be described as a kind of regularized M-estimators for functions and have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-07-26 Andreas Christmann , Robert Hable

It has long been agreed by academics that the inversion method is the method of choice for generating random variates, given the availability of the quantile function. However for several probability distributions arising in practice a…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-04-03 Asad Munir , William Shaw

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Incomplete covariate vectors are known to be problematic for estimation and inferences on model parameters, but their impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop an imputation-free method that builds on a random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Matthew J. Heiner , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

Kink model is developed to analyze the data where the regression function is twostage linear but intersects at an unknown threshold. In quantile regression with longitudinal data, previous work assumed that the unknown threshold parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-07 Chuang Wan

Assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding is an important step in observational studies, which typically estimate effects under the assumption that all confounders are measured. In this paper, we develop a sensitivity analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-04 Dan Soriano , Eli Ben-Michael , Peter J. Bickel , Avi Feller , Samuel D. Pimentel

This paper proposes confidence regions for the identified set in conditional moment inequality models using Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics with a truncated inverse variance weighting with increasing truncation points. The new weighting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-12-06 Timothy B. Armstrong

In this paper we introduce new estimators of the coefficient functions in the varying coefficient regression model. The proposed estimators are obtained by projecting the vector of the full-dimensional kernel-weighted local polynomial…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-05 Young K. Lee , Enno Mammen , Byeong U. Park

As an essential component of state-of-the-art quantum technologies, fast and efficient quantum measurements are in persistent demand over time. We present a proof-of-principle experiment on a new dimensionless pseudo-spin pointer based on…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-06-14 Ling Ye , Lan Luo , An Wang , Rongchun Ge , Zhiyou Zhang

This paper considers reparameterization invariant Bayesian point estimates and credible regions of model parameters for scientific inference and communication. The effect of intrinsic loss function choice in Bayesian intrinsic estimates and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-23 Aki Vehtari

Quantile regression predicts the $\tau$-quantile of the conditional distribution of a response variable given the explanatory variable for $\tau\in(0,1)$. The aim of this paper is to establish the asymptotic distribution of the quantile…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-07 Takuma Yoshida

In this paper we propose an extension of the classical Sobol' estimator for the estimation of variance based sensitivity indices. The approach assumes a linear correlation model between the input variables which is used to decompose the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-12 Thomas Most

Estimating the data uncertainty in regression tasks is often done by learning a quantile function or a prediction interval of the true label conditioned on the input. It is frequently observed that quantile regression -- a vanilla algorithm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong

As one of the most commonly seen data challenges, missing data, in particular, multiple, non-monotone missing patterns, complicates estimation and inference due to the fact that missingness mechanisms are often not missing at random, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-21 Jianing Dong , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

Many analyses in particle and nuclear physics use simulations to infer fundamental, effective, or phenomenological parameters of the underlying physics models. When the inference is performed with unfolded cross sections, the observables…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-09-19 Owen Long , Benjamin Nachman

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim