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Today, observations of earthquake precursors remain widely debated. While precursory slow slip is an important feature of earthquake nucleation, foreshock sequences are not always observed and their temporal evolution remains unconstrained.…

The concept of proper time, which is different from universal time, has been introduced into the physics of earthquakes. The global activity of strong earthquakes was chosen as the object of study. We consider the sequence of earthquakes as…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

Microseismic event detection and location are two primary components in microseismic monitoring, which offers us invaluable insights into the subsurface during reservoir stimulation and evolution. Conventional approaches for event detection…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-10-02 Yuanyuan Yang , Claire Birnie , Tariq Alkhalifah

The M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake on July 29, 2025 was one of the largest in the first quarter of the 21st century. It deserves a thorough analysis including the preparation process. A smaller M7.4 earthquake occurred on July 20 with its…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-01-23 Ivan O. Kitov

The spatio-temporal Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to describe the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. While traditional inference methods provide only point estimates of the model parameters, we…

Physical Wavelets observe the large earthquake genesis processes of several months in a regional seismic catalog, suggesting the predictability of location, fault movement and size, and rupture time with an accuracy of up to a day and up to…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-04-03 Fumihide Takeda

The refugee crisis is perhaps the single most challenging problem for Europe today. Hundreds of thousands of people have already traveled across dangerous sea passages from Turkish shores to Greek islands, resulting in thousands of dead and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-11 Harris V. Georgiou

We report the observation of weak localization of seismic waves in a natural environment. It emerges as a doubling of the seismic energy around the source within a spot of width a wavelength, that is several tens of meters in our case. The…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Larose , L. Margerin , B. A. van Tiggelen , M. Campillo

Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points resemble local bifurcations, whose low dimensional dynamics can…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-08-08 Daniel Dylewsky , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Japan's GPS observed the fifteen-month megathrust earthquake genesis process of the 2011 Tohoku M9, suggesting the real-time predictability of such events.

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-06-06 Fumihide Takeda

Although earthquake prediction is a big challenge in the world, some simple observational tools can capture many physical signals and demonstrate that an earthquake (EQ) may be forthcoming in short period. Many researchers have studied the…

Seismicity and faulting within the Earth crust are characterized by many scaling laws that are usually interpreted as qualifying the existence of underlying physical mechanisms associated with some kind of criticality in the sense of phase…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-03-31 Shyam Nandan , Sumit Kumar Ram , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

Transient electric signals emitted prior to earthquake occurrence are recorded at certain sites in the Earth's crust termed sensitive. These field observations enforce the laboratory investigation of the dielectric response of rocks forming…

地球物理 · 物理学 2011-10-04 A. N. Papathanassiou , I. Sakellis , J. Grammatikakis

This paper describes the use of the idea of natural time to propose a new method for characterizing the seismic risk to the world's major cities at risk of earthquakes. Rather than focus on forecasting, which is the computation of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-12-06 John B Rundle , Molly Luginbuhl , Alexis Giguere , Donald L Turcotte

As part of an effort to develop a systematic methodology for earthquake forecasting, we use a simple model of seismicity based on interacting events which may trigger a cascade of earthquakes, known as the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

On April 15, 2016, the Kumamoto earthquake (Mw 7.3) occurred in Japan with no warning signals. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers provide useful information on disturbances in ionosphere by calculating the changes in Total…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-05-03 Takuya Iwata , Ken Umeno

Earthquakes are indeed triggered by fault dislocations, but whether this process alone can produce the actual earthquake energy released by the mainshock has long been questioned. Therefore, exploring the true source of energy that causes…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-02-24 Xiaoping Mao , Xueqiang Zhang , Yuci Su , Ke Mao , Pengyu Lu , Fei Zhang

We review the recurrence intervals as a function of ground motion amplitude at several terrestrial locations, and make the first interplanetary comparison with measurements on the Moon, Mars, Venus and Titan. This empirical approach gives…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-12-06 Ralph Lorenz , Mark Panning

We propose a new method to analyze seismic time series and estimate the arrival-times of seismic waves. Our approach combines two ingredients: the times series are first lifted into a high-dimensional space using time-delay embedding; the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2010-07-23 Kye M. Taylor , Michael J. Procopio , Christopher J. Young , Francois G. Meyer

Near real-time damage diagnosis of building structures after extreme events (e.g., earthquakes) is of great importance in structural health monitoring. Unlike conventional methods that are usually time-consuming and require human expertise,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-25 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang