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We present a novel framework for predicting next actions in soccer possessions by leveraging path signatures to encode their complex spatio-temporal structure. Unlike existing approaches, we do not rely on fixed historical windows and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-19 David Hirnschall , Robert Bajons

In this study, the stochastic properties of player and team ball possession times in professional football matches are examined. Data analysis shows that player possession time follows a gamma distribution and the player count of a team…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Ken Yamamoto , Seiya Uezu , Keiichiro Kagawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki , Takuma Narizuka

In soccer games, the goalkeeper's performance is an important factor to the success of the whole team. Despite the goalkeeper's importance, little attention has been paid to their performance in events and tracking data. Here, we developed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-02 Samer Fatayri , Kirill Serykh , Egor Gumin

Anticipating defensive coverage schemes is a crucial yet challenging task for offenses in American football. Because defenders' assignments are intentionally disguised before the snap, they remain difficult to recognize in real time. To…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Rouven Michels , Robert Bajons , Jan-Ole Fischer

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

We argue for the use of active learning methods for player modelling. In active learning, the learning algorithm chooses where to sample the search space so as to optimise learning progress. We hypothesise that player modelling based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-12-11 Julian Togelius , Noor Shaker , Georgios N. Yannakakis

In soccer, contextual player performance metrics are invaluable to coaches. For example, the ability to perform under pressure during matches distinguishes the elite from the average. Appropriate pressure metric enables teams to assess…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-08 Chaoyi Gu , Jiaming Na , Yisheng Pei , Varuna De Silva

In-play football forecasting models have struggled to match the accuracy of betting exchange prices, which aggregate information from many market participants. We close this gap by combining two extensions to a Weibull accelerated failure…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Lawrence Clegg , Zixing Song , John Cartlidge

Pressing is a fundamental defensive strategy in football, characterized by applying pressure on the ball owning team to regain possession. Despite its significance, existing metrics for measuring pressing often lack precision or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Joris Bekkers

Recent advances in computer vision have made significant progress in tracking and pose estimation of sports players. However, there have been fewer studies on behavior prediction with pose estimation in sports, in particular, the prediction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Jiale Fang , Calvin Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

Orientation is a crucial skill for football players that becomes a differential factor in a large set of events, especially the ones involving passes. However, existing orientation estimation methods, which are based on computer-vision…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Paulino Granero , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro

Player tracking data have provided great opportunities to generate novel insights into understudied areas of American football, such as pre-snap motion. Using a Bayesian multilevel model with heterogeneous variances, we provide an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

The goal of this thesis is to investigate the potential of predictive modelling for football injuries. This work was conducted in close collaboration with Tottenham Hotspurs FC (THFC), the PGA European tour and the participation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Stylianos Kampakis

In this study, basketball teams are conceptualized as complex adaptive systems to examine their (re)organizational processes in response the time remaining to shoot. Using temporal passing networks to model team behavior, the focus is on…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-06 Quentin Bourgeais , Rodolphe Charrier , Eric Sanlaville , Ludovic Seifert

Australian Rules Football is a field invasion game where two teams attempt to score the highest points to win. Complex machine learning algorithms have been developed to predict match outcomes post-game, but their lack of interpretability…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Carlos Rafael Gonzalez Soffner , Manuele Leonelli

In soccer, game context can result in skewing offensive statistics in ways that might misrepresent how well a team has played. For instance, in England's 1-2 loss to France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal, England attempted…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Andrey Skripnikov , Ahmet Cemek , David Gillman

Team-based invasion sports such as football, basketball and hockey are similar in the sense that the players are able to move freely around the playing area; and that player and team performance cannot be fully analysed without considering…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2017-04-17 Joachim Gudmundsson , Michael Horton

In soccer game analysis, the widespread availability of play-by-play and tracking data has made it possible to test mathematical models that have been discussed mainly theoretically. One of the essential models in soccer game analysis is a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-18 Takuma Narizuka , Kenta Takizawa , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Human motion style transfer allows characters to appear less rigidity and more realism with specific style. Traditional arbitrary image style transfer typically process mean and variance which is proved effective. Meanwhile, similar methods…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-07 Hanmo Chen , Chenghao Xu , Jiexi Yan , Cheng Deng

Competitive online games use rating systems to match players with similar skills to ensure a satisfying experience for players. In this paper, we focus on the importance of addressing different aspects of playing behavior when modeling…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-12-09 Arman Dehpanah , Muheeb Faizan Ghori , Jonathan Gemmell , Bamshad Mobasher