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Proximal Markov Chain Monte Carlo is a novel construct that lies at the intersection of Bayesian computation and convex optimization, which helped popularize the use of nondifferentiable priors in Bayesian statistics. Existing formulations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Qiang Heng , Hua Zhou , Eric C. Chi

Multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) are increasingly observed in clinical practice globally. Clustering methods to group diseases into commonly co-occurring clusters have been of interest for further understanding of how MLTC group…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-02 James Rafferty , Keith R Abrams , Munir Pirmohamed , Mark Davies , Rhiannon K Owen

We introduce a novel adaptive Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methodology for efficient construction of surrogate models for Bayesian inverse problems with expensive forward model evaluations. An adaptive design strategy focuses on…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-05-01 Paolo Villani , Jörg Unger , Martin Weiser

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

Existing ocean front detection methods--including histogram-based variance analysis, Lyapunov exponent, gradient thresholding, and machine learning--suffer from critical limitations: discontinuous outputs, over-detection, reliance on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-15 Yishuo Wang , Feng Zhou , Qicheng Meng , Muping Zhou , Zhijun Hu , Chengqing Zhang , Tianhao Zhao

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is widely used for analyzing correlated data, particularly in large-scale biomedical and social science applications. Scalable Bayesian inference for GLMMs is challenging because the marginal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Samuel I. Berchuck , Youngsoo Baek , Felipe A. Medeiros , Andrea Agazzi

An important goal in cancer research is the survival prognosis of a patient based on a minimal panel of genomic and molecular markers such as genes or proteins. Purely data-driven models without any biological knowledge can produce…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Tobias Østmo Hermansen , Manuela Zucknick , Zhi Zhao

Bayesian models provide recursive inference naturally because they can formally reconcile new data and existing scientific information. However, popular use of Bayesian methods often avoids priors that are based on exact posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-29 Mevin B. Hooten , Devin S. Johnson , Brian M. Brost

In many studies of environmental change of the past few centuries, 210Pb dating is used to obtain chronologies for sedimentary sequences. One of the most commonly used approaches to estimate the ages of depths in a sequence is to assume a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Marco A Aquino-López , Maarten Blaauw , J Andrés Christen , Nicole K. Sanderson

The redshifted 21\,cm line is an emerging tool in observational cosmology that can serve as a direct probe of the intergalactic medium throughout the cosmic timeline. However, the observation of the cosmological 21\,cm signal from early…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2026-05-12 Samit Kumar Pal , Abhirup Datta , Aishrila Mazumder , Anshuman Tripathi

Comparing paleoclimate time series is complicated by a variety of typical features, including irregular sampling, age model uncertainty (e.g., errors due to interpolation between radiocarbon sampling points) and time uncertainty…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-03-29 Jasper G. Franke , Reik V. Donner

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

This research develops a Bayesian framework for analyzing failure times using the Weibull distribution, addressing challenges in prior selection due to the lack of conjugate priors and multi-dimensional sufficient statistics. We propose an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Tobias Oketch , Mohammad Sepehrifar

Tensor decompositions play a crucial role in numerous applications related to multi-way data analysis. By employing a Bayesian framework with sparsity-inducing priors, Bayesian Tensor Ring (BTR) factorization offers probabilistic estimates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Zerui Tao , Toshihisa Tanaka , Qibin Zhao

This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

This paper presents a new approach to automatically discovering accurate models of complex time series data. Working within a Bayesian nonparametric prior over a symbolic space of Gaussian process time series models, we present a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-20 Feras A. Saad , Brian J. Patton , Matthew D. Hoffman , Rif A. Saurous , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

By formulating the inverse problem of partial differential equations (PDEs) as a statistical inference problem, the Bayesian approach provides a general framework for quantifying uncertainties. In the inverse problem of PDEs, parameters are…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-10 Haoyu Lu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng