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Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-24 Evan Archer , Il Memming Park , Lars Buesing , John Cunningham , Liam Paninski

Latent force models are a class of hybrid models for dynamic systems, combining simple mechanistic models with flexible Gaussian process (GP) perturbations. An extension of this framework to include multiplicative interactions between the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Optimizing high-dimensional black-box functions under black-box constraints is a pervasive task in a wide range of scientific and engineering problems. These problems are typically harder than unconstrained problems due to hard-to-find…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Kiyoung Om , Kyuil Sim , Taeyoung Yun , Hyeongyu Kang , Jinkyoo Park

Latent force models (LFMs) are hybrid models combining mechanistic principles with non-parametric components. In this article, we shall show how LFMs can be equivalently formulated and solved using the state variable approach. We shall also…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Jouni Hartikainen , Simo Sarkka

Control of nonlinear uncertain systems is a common challenge in the robotics field. Nonlinear latent force models, which incorporate latent uncertainty characterized as Gaussian processes, carry the promise of representing such systems…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-07-29 Thomas Woodruff , Iman Askari , Guanghui Wang , Huazhen Fang

Identification of nonlinear dynamic systems remains a significant challenge across engineering. This work suggests an approach based on Bayesian filtering to extract and identify the contribution of an unknown nonlinear term in the system…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-01 Timothy J. Rogers , Tobias Friis

Bayesian modelling of dynamic systems must achieve a compromise between providing a complete mechanistic specification of the process while retaining the flexibility to handle those situations in which data is sparse relative to model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-02 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Latent force models, a class of hybrid modeling approaches, integrate physical knowledge of system dynamics with a latent force - an unknown, unmeasurable input modeled as a Gaussian process. In this work, we introduce two optimal state…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-24 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller , Thomas Beckers

Latent force models (LFMs) are flexible models that combine mechanistic modelling principles (i.e., physical models) with non-parametric data-driven components. Several key applications of LFMs need non-linearities, which results in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Jouni Hartikainen , Mari Seppanen , Simo Sarkka

The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Continuous latent time series models are prevalent in Bayesian modeling; examples include the Kalman filter, dynamic collaborative filtering, or dynamic topic models. These models often benefit from structured, non mean field variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-05 Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt

Variational inference has become a widely used method to approximate posteriors in complex latent variables models. However, deriving a variational inference algorithm generally requires significant model-specific analysis, and these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-03 Rajesh Ranganath , Sean Gerrish , David M. Blei

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

For real-life nonlinear systems, the exact form of nonlinearity is often not known and the known governing equations are often based on certain assumptions and approximations. Such representation introduced model-form error into the system.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-20 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty , Budhaditya Hazra

Learning accurate dynamics models is necessary for optimal, compliant control of robotic systems. Current approaches to white-box modeling using analytic parameterizations, or black-box modeling using neural networks, can suffer from high…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-05 Jayesh K. Gupta , Kunal Menda , Zachary Manchester , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

An approach for the identification of discontinuous and nonsmooth nonlinear forces, as those generated by frictional contacts, in mechanical systems that can be approximated by a single-degree-of-freedom model is presented. To handle the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-26 Luca Marino , Alice Cicirello

We propose a black-box variational inference method to approximate intractable distributions with an increasingly rich approximating class. Our method, termed variational boosting, iteratively refines an existing variational approximation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-21 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas Foti , Ryan P. Adams

This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-08-15 Simo Särkkä , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

Likelihood-free inference (LFI) has been successfully applied to state-space models, where the likelihood of observations is not available but synthetic observations generated by a black-box simulator can be used for inference instead.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Alexander Aushev , Thong Tran , Henri Pesonen , Andrew Howes , Samuel Kaski
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