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In this work, we analyze the variance of a stochastic estimator for computing Schatten norms of matrices. The estimator extracts information from a single sketch of the matrix, that is, the product of the matrix with a few standard Gaussian…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-01-17 Ya-Chi Chu , Alice Cortinovis

In a completely randomized experiment, the variances of treatment effect estimators in the finite population are usually not identifiable and hence not estimable. Although some estimable bounds of the variances have been established in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao , Xiaohua Zhou

This paper considers stochastic optimization problems for a large class of objective functions, including convex and continuous submodular. Stochastic proximal gradient methods have been widely used to solve such problems; however, their…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-13 Aryan Mokhtari , Hamed Hassani , Amin Karbasi

Latent Gaussian variables have been popularised in probabilistic machine learning. In turn, gradient estimators are the machinery that facilitates gradient-based optimisation for models with latent Gaussian variables. The reparameterisation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Kevin H. Lam , Thang D. Bui , George Deligiannidis , Yee Whye Teh

We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients. A class of estimators based on a regularized propensity score regression is shown to exactly solve a tradeoff between…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-11 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár , Soonwoo Kwon

Variational inference is becoming more and more popular for approximating intractable posterior distributions in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. Meanwhile, a few recent works have provided theoretical justification and new…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-09 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif

In this paper, a new numerical method based on adaptive gradient descent optimizers is provided for computing the implied volatility from the Black-Scholes (B-S) option pricing model. It is shown that the new method is more accurate than…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-24 Yixiao Lu , Yihong Wang , Tinggan Yang

Datasets are often reused to perform multiple statistical analyses in an adaptive way, in which each analysis may depend on the outcomes of previous analyses on the same dataset. Standard statistical guarantees do not account for these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-06-19 Vitaly Feldman , Thomas Steinke

Variational inference (VI) is a method to approximate the computationally intractable posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian statistics. Typically, VI fits a simple parametric distribution to the target posterior by minimizing an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Chirag Modi , Charles Margossian , Yuling Yao , Robert Gower , David Blei , Lawrence Saul

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

While matrix variate regression models have been studied in many existing works, classical statistical and computational methods for the analysis of the regression coefficient estimation are highly affected by high dimensional and noisy…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-17 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Feng Yu , Xing Fan , Teng Zhang

The Gumbel-Max trick is the basis of many relaxed gradient estimators. These estimators are easy to implement and low variance, but the goal of scaling them comprehensively to large combinatorial distributions is still outstanding. Working…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Max B. Paulus , Dami Choi , Daniel Tarlow , Andreas Krause , Chris J. Maddison

It is a common phenomenon that for high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models, rate-optimal estimators balance squared bias and variance. Although this balancing is widely observed, little is known whether methods exist that…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The belief network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independences in a joint probability distribution. The methods, which perform probabilistic inference in belief networks, often treat the conditional probabilities…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Calibration of large-scale differential equation models to observational or experimental data is a widespread challenge throughout applied sciences and engineering. A crucial bottleneck in state-of-the art calibration methods is the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-02-23 Jon Cockayne , Andrew B. Duncan

Recent work shows that path gradient estimators for normalizing flows have lower variance compared to standard estimators for variational inference, resulting in improved training. However, they are often prohibitively more expensive from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Lorenz Vaitl , Ludwig Winkler , Lorenz Richter , Pan Kessel

Inference models are a key component in scaling variational inference to deep latent variable models, most notably as encoder networks in variational auto-encoders (VAEs). By replacing conventional optimization-based inference with a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-26 Joseph Marino , Yisong Yue , Stephan Mandt

Amortized inference allows latent-variable models trained via variational learning to scale to large datasets. The quality of approximate inference is determined by two factors: a) the capacity of the variational distribution to match the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-29 Chris Cremer , Xuechen Li , David Duvenaud

In a variety of problems originating in supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning, the loss function is defined by an expectation over a collection of random variables, which might be part of a probabilistic model or the external…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-01-06 John Schulman , Nicolas Heess , Theophane Weber , Pieter Abbeel

A new paradigm to estimate the gradient of a black-box scalar function is introduced, considering it as a member of a set of admissible gradients that are computed using existing function samples. Results on gradient estimate accuracy,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-28 Lorenzo Sabug , Fredy Ruiz , Lorenzo Fagiano